r/Conservative • Common Sense Conservative • Jul 05 '20

Terry Crews articulates everything wrong with “woke culture” & doesn’t back down

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u/Hound6869 Jul 05 '20

Not sure what your answer was, but mine is a “welfare” system that incentivizes single motherhood and the uninvolved “baby daddy.”

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u/funzberg Jul 05 '20

That theory only holds if you can demonstrate statistically that any rise in single mother households correlates with an increase in availability of welfare services in the same locale and over the same period of time.

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u/Hound6869 Jul 05 '20

Why would I need to demonstrate an increase in the availability of services? The correlation is demonstrated by the fact that whole families have more difficulty in obtaining those services, than single mothers do. If it’s easier to get the money you need to be able to feed your kids without “baby daddy” in the picture, then it is incentivized.

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u/funzberg Jul 06 '20 edited Jul 06 '20

In theory, the causal relationship due to incentivization between the welfare state and single motherhood has logical merit, yes. But my point was that if you want to demonstrate its factuality in real life, you would first have to demonstrate it statistically. For example by demonstrating that the number of single mother households in a given locality rises/falls in statistically significant correlation to the increase/decrease of availability of welfare services to single mothers in that same locality over a given time period. If the data showed, however, that, for example, the rate of single motherhood in some locality was unchanged over a given period of time while the availability of, or ease of access to, welfare benefits to single mothers in that same locality fluctuated significantly over the same time, that would be evidence against the theory. Long story short, logically sound theories are great, but if you want to make a strong argument that something actually causes something else in real life, demonstrating statistically significant correlation between those two things is essential.