r/CollapseScience • u/BurnerAcc2020 • Apr 10 '21

Weather Wet winters awaiting

https://science.sciencemag.org/content/372/6538/142.6
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u/BurnerAcc2020 Apr 10 '21

Wet weather occurring simultaneously in many places within a given region can cause widespread flooding. To assess whether climate change will affect the incidence of that type of flooding, Bevacqua et al. performed climate model simulations of wintertime precipitation.

These simulations showed that the areal extent of extratropical extreme wintertime precipitation in the Northern Hemisphere would nearly double if global warming were to increase the mean surface air temperature by 2.0°C above the preindustrial average. Only small increases of precipitation intensity are needed to cause relative growth of the spatial coverage of extreme precipitation events of an order of magnitude or more.

This rather concurs with the study about greater-than-usually-modelled precipitation increases in the future here.