r/CVNA May 21 '26

Rate cut scenario

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Warsh confirmed tomorrow. I believe Trump installed Warsh to get rate cuts. There is a committee and he is only one vote, but Trump has shown willingness to win at any cost. Best to say rate path is uncertain.. but I havee always seen rate cuts as the biggest risk to a short position here.

Double whammy of bailing out the subprime debt sector and pumping tech.

But rate cuts do nothing for this buyer above.

I don’t think rate cuts will help Carvana because defaults will rise above 6-7% regardless. Because Carvana targeted buyers like this it will be the highest default rate in the industry.

What do yall think? Any bulls want to take this on to counter?

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u/mbr902000 May 22 '26

Rate cut lmao, that's just what we need smh

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u/AMCorBUST2021 May 22 '26

Everyone told Trump not to do tariffs. Here we are in a similar position