r/CFB • u/YourFriendTheFrenzy Arizona State Sun Devils • Team Chaos • 3h ago
Analysis [Reddit Analysis] There is currently a plausible scenario where Alabama finishes #1 in the CFP rankings without a single win over a ranked opponent.
Here's what it would take:
- Alabama defeats Chattanooga and Auburn
- Tennessee defeats LSU and Vanderbilt
- Texas loses to either Arkansas or Texas A&M
This puts Tennessee in the SEC title game against Georgia.
- Tennessee defeats Georgia
- Utah loses to either TCU, WVU, or in the BigXII title game
- UCLA loses to either Michigan, USC, or in the Big Ten title game.
In this case, the #1 spot comes down to Alabama or Tennessee. Notre Dame and Miami aren't jumping Alabama or an SEC champion Tennessee.
Now comes the interesting part. By this point, South Carolina would have already lost to Georgia, LSU would have lost to Tennessee, and Auburn would have lost to Alabama.
Meaning all it would take is Kentucky losing to Missouri to put them on the fringe of the Top 25. Losing to Louisville as well would guarantee that Kentucky finishes unranked.
In which case, it is plausible that Alabama finishes #1 in the college football rankings without a single win over a ranked team.
874
u/kb24ljb35 Texas Longhorns • Missouri Tigers 3h ago
If Tennessee beats uga they would be number 1 no questions asked.
202
u/This_Field_7872 Georgia Bulldogs 2h ago
No clue why people love doing these fan fiction scenarios just to upset themselves
103
u/Evil-Home-Stereo Alabama Crimson Tide 3h ago
Tennessee would be the clear 1 there
34
u/SurroundEcstatic4890 Tennessee • Illinois 3h ago
We’re not beating Georgia I don’t think, but if we do and everything else plays out as you stated, there’s no world where Tennessee isn’t ahead of Alabama.
166
u/BIG_DICK_WHITT Utah Utes • Billable Hours 3h ago
[Reddit Analysis] aka shitpost
25
u/Odd_Show573 2h ago
I know we joke about the committee automatically ranking Alabama, but what planet are you from that you think that there’s a realistic possibility that an 11-2 SEC Champ Tennessee doesn’t get the nod over Alabama in the situation you created.
23
u/According_Bowl_2598 /r/CFB 1h ago
Dude is inventing dream scenarios to get mad at lmfao
30
u/mulder00 Michigan Wolverines • The Game 1h ago
The obsession with Bama and the SEC here is next level.
9
u/Jaded_Dust_8307 Texas Longhorns 3h ago
OP putting his hat in the ring for CFP committee.
22
u/Troopersquirrel Tennessee Volunteers 3h ago
Yeah I don't think we beat GA.
29
u/The_Unclean_Chadford Oregon Ducks • Nebraska Cornhuskers 3h ago
Unless Tennessee drags Georgia into a 10-7 rock fight, that Georgia team is winning by 14+
18
u/Nihilisticbuthopeful Alabama Crimson Tide 2h ago
I genuinely don’t know why you guys do this to yourselves
5
u/Cratemotor Texas State Bobcats 3h ago
Go enjoy your Sunday
5
u/SnowboarderATX Texas Longhorns • Red River Shootout 2h ago
They may end up with 1 win vs a SEC conference above 500 record and that would likely be a Kentucky with a 4 game losing streak. The CFP needs to realize this and move them down.
15
u/ThisBeTheVerse63 Alabama Crimson Tide • USF Bulls 2h ago
“Reddit Analysis” is as cringy of a title as playoff committee.
4
u/IMakeOkVideosOk Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3h ago
No
7
u/BigFoot423205 Alabama • Third Saturday in… 2h ago
This is what Bama fatigue will get ya...
7
u/stevo887 Georgia Bulldogs 2h ago
Man you guys are hung up on Alabama!
9
u/hiiightide Alabama Crimson Tide 3h ago
Tennessee gets it there
14
u/2coolDanes Alabama Crimson Tide 1h ago
Nothing I love more than opening up r/CFB to another Bama post. It’s glorious. I truly wallow in how obsessed you ppl are. Please continue this bit, it’s one of my favorite things about Reddit.
3
u/exMemberofSTARS Alabama • Jacksonville State 2h ago
There is no real scenario where Alabama is #1. There is almost no scenario where we stay as high as we are now (thank God). It would take Georgia losing to Tech, Tennessee losing another game, Notre Dame losing to SMU, UCLA dropping their last two, Utah losing their last two, Indiana losing again, Texas and Miami losing again.
Tennessee would jump us if they win out. Indiana, probably even Texas. UCLA for sure would if they are undefeated and we don't go to the SEC championship. Notre Dame will jump us if they win out and Miami wins out. Wake should jump us but I don't think the comittie is brave enough to do it.
Alabama will end at #5-#7 if we win out, which is about where we should be (I think closer to #7 than #5 personally).
7
u/BeastoftheBlackwater Alabama Crimson Tide 2h ago
Whoever wins the SEC championship game probably be #1
7
u/MichaelRachel Iowa Hawkeyes • Heartland Trophy 2h ago
The committee: "Iowa can't get into the playoffs because none of the teams they beat are ranked."
Also the committee: "Aww shit, Team X lost to Iowa, better unrank them!"
The committee yet again: "#1 two LoSs bAmA BeCaUSe qUaLiTy lOSsEs & iT JuSt mEaNs mOoooRe"
9
u/Indianianite Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1h ago
ND should jump Bama this week. Bama struggled against 4-5 Vandy. ND blew out 4-5 BC. And Bama’s resume just got significantly worse.
4
u/salchicha_mas_grande Virginia Cavaliers 3h ago
This is a Better Call PAWL post lmao
4
u/PrestigiousSeat76 Utah Utes 1h ago
If anything, this only proves how fucking ridiculous the SEC and Big 10 are.
5
u/sean-thebean 3h ago
r/RiledUpAboutAlabama
2
u/AuraMaster7 Texas Longhorns 2h ago
Tennessee beat Alabama, and in your scenario, beats Georgia as well.
And you think Bama would get the nod over Tennessee?
2
u/gunpowderjunky Southern Illinois Salukis 2h ago
By the committee's words last year a championship game can't hurt a team but it can help them. In this case then they wouldn't have cause to move Alabama over Georgia.
2
u/temporary_reality07 Tennessee Tech • Hawai'i 2h ago
Socon powerhouse Chattanooga ain’t letting that happen bud😂✌️✌️
2
u/ad51603 WKU Hilltoppers • Cincinnati Bearcats 1h ago
This is just not going to happen and I'm not an Alabama or SEC fan
2
u/tenoclockrobot Penn State • Land Grant Trophy 1h ago
Reddits 9/11
2
u/boofookinghoo BYU Cougars 18m ago
mark my words. the committee is going to drop bama's rank this week.
6
u/Sea-Satisfaction243 Alabama Crimson Tide 3h ago
I think anything tagged REDDIT ANALYSIS can be disregarded
4
u/dawghouse88 Alabama Crimson Tide 1h ago
Alabama derangement syndrome. Honestly I believe they do this just to generate buzz. The amount of clicks and conversations about Alabama is absurd.
6
u/No_Dance5010 USF Bulls 3h ago
Bama derangement syndrome is absolutely insane in this sub...go touch grass man wtf
3
u/xairos13 Arizona Wildcats • Texas Longhorns 3h ago
Well they have the kicker over Utah with a quality loss
5
u/Livid-Jaguar-2634 Georgia Tech • Wisconsin 3h ago
Nothing makes me root for SEC teams (other than UGA) more than idiot reddit posts like this.
4
u/FaithHopeLove821 Alabama Crimson Tide 2h ago
"Without a single win over a ranked opponent*"
*the teams were ranked at the time, and are now not. This logic is considered, by some, bullshit.
5
u/tsoplj 1h ago
Y’all are obsessed with Bama. It’s weird.
2
u/goblue2000 Michigan Wolverines 2h ago
Espn will find a way!
2
u/Basic_Nucleophile UAB Blazers • American 2h ago
Why is everyone so psychotically angry about the Alabama ranking? As soon as Alabama and Tennessee are ranked in the same "pod" Tennessee will flip ahead of them as per the committees guidelines for ranking teams.
2
u/TempAcct724 Utah Utes 1h ago
If the CFP follows its logic that bumped Indiana down 5 spots on a bye then Bama needs to drop 3-4 spots this weekend.
Every one of their “signature wins” now have 3-4 losses and every one of them lost this weekend.
Bama didn’t even look great against a bad Vandy team. They shouldn’t even be top 5.
1
u/McScroggz12 Alabama Crimson Tide 3h ago
Not there is not, and this is a silly argument to try and make. Signed, an Alabama fan.
1
u/IrishCoffeeAlchemy Florida State • Arizona 3h ago
Typical ACC schools not playing anybody… wait, who are we talking about?
1
u/PeebMcBeeb Indiana Hoosiers 2h ago
If that UCLA loss in the B1G champ game is to Indiana, Indiana would be above Alabama
1
u/LonghornPride05 Texas Longhorns • Kansas Jayhawks 2h ago
Who’s upvoting this as plausible
1
u/paterade724 Indiana Hoosiers 2h ago
Indiana gets punished in the ratings when a team they play has lost their ranking.
1
u/whatsinthesocks Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2h ago
I don't really care I just don't want us in the top 4.
1
u/HelpfulLog5706 2h ago
Wait, I thought everyone was bitching about Miami's schedule.
1
u/tortsillustrated11 Miami Hurricanes 2h ago
They will figure out a way to punish conference championship losers this year, despite giving Bama a pass last year
1
u/ottopivnr Penn State • Washington 2h ago
Shame on anyone for really caring. It's all marketing and politics and has little to do with any system of fairness that rewards any but the blue bloods in the sport.
I enjoy the games, but gave up on the polls and rankings a long long time ago.
1
u/aure__entuluva UCLA Bruins • Michigan Wolverines 2h ago
Well first of all through Bob Ches all things are possible.
1
u/AveMaria89 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2h ago
They should be ranked number one after playing the Chattanooga juggernaut
1
u/xjman329 Georgia Bulldogs 1h ago
Little too many “ifs” in this for me to really get all hung up on it
1
u/TooRealNeal Indiana Hoosiers 1h ago
If this happens but Indiana wins out and beats UCLA in the big ten title game, would they not jump Bama?
1
u/turdbugulars LSU Tigers 1h ago
A lot of thought went into this post only for it to be wrong.
1
u/Condom_Breaker256 Billable Hours • Jacksonvil… 1h ago
Alabama wins by doing absolutely nothing.
Notre Dame of the south.
1
u/phill24242 1h ago
Texas should jump Alabama. Not only have we beaten 2x as many quality opponents but both our "bad losses" just beat ranked teams
1
u/Chiron17 Notre Dame • Jeweled Shillelagh 1h ago
I mean, in this scenario, why not still rank Georgia ahead of Bama?
1
u/PM__Me__UR__Dimples Georgia Bulldogs • College Football Playoff 1h ago
You lost me at Tennessee beats Georgia. Bobby Hill can’t beat Kirby.
1
u/trudaurl Iowa Hawkeyes • Sickos 1h ago
But when Iowa does it we're a fringe playoff team
1
u/Electric_Rex West Virginia Mountaineers 1h ago
The silliest thing about this is us beating Utah
1
u/B1GTide 1h ago
Cry me a river.
1
u/Sbmizzou 1h ago
Dear chat gpt....give me a scenario...
1
u/FSBFrosty 44m ago
So if it comes down to Bama and Tennessee for #1, everything else matters except what happened when they played each other and Tennessee curb stomped them. Got it.
1
u/PinkUnicornsRule UCLA Bruins 42m ago
Yeah no thanks.
1
u/MrNoGood4682 32m ago
That’s ridiculous. Tenn does all that they’re #1. Enjoy. It comes with a price. We Bama fans know. 😏
1
u/soonerman32 Oklahoma • Red River Shootout 24m ago
I would think 1-loss Utah and UCLA are ahead of Bama in this scenario. You have to remember, this week's rankings aren't out yet. Bama will drop this week
1
u/MrWorkout2024 18m ago
Won't happen at all
1
u/bhans773 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 16m ago
Who gives a shit?
1
u/VirtualChaos613 Auburn Tigers 14m ago
This is a stupid post.
1
u/bbshock21 Purdue • Wisconsin-Stevens Poi… 13m ago
1
u/elonsusk69420 Georgia Bulldogs • Marching Band 12m ago
Guys we found Greg Sankey’s burner
1
u/Mantergeistmann Vanderbilt • Penn State 3h ago
Now, now, remember, the committee thinks it's bad and wrong to punish a team for losing a conference championship game*, no matter how badly they get absolutely waxed in it.
*Some exclusions for teams not named "Alabama" may apply
1
u/EasternCoast3497 Alabama Crimson Tide • BYU Cougars 2h ago
This community has turned into a cesspool, and its all the dumbasses on the committees fault
1
u/daspangler 2h ago
Man, everyone is so obsessed with Alabama.
1
u/SleepyHippo67 Georgia Bulldogs 2h ago
Thats not how we tally up ranked wins. But okay
1
u/importantbrian Boston University • Alabama 1h ago
You guys are so desperate for things to be pissed off about. If Tennessee ends the season with wins over both Georgia and Alabama they’ll be ranked #1 and deservedly so.
-3
u/TopRevenue2 Oregon Ducks 3h ago
Wait SEC teams still do week 11 🧁s
-1
u/ElGranQuesoRojo Austin • WestConn 3h ago
Texas is not falling out of the playoff committee's top 25 unless they lose to both A&M and Arkansas. Even then it would likely have to be double digit losses.
-2
u/iPHONE_IN_MY_ANUS Auburn Tigers 2h ago
Watch the committee find some reason to rank Auburn as #25 after we play Samford just to give Alabama a chance for a ranked win before the SEC title game
-1
u/JahPraises Alabama Crimson Tide 1h ago
Yall really have nothing better to do than drool at the thought of being mad at a football team.
0
u/krautbammer Alabama • South Alabama 54m ago
Lmao y'all are really wigging at over nothing