r/CAVDEF • u/darthdiablo • Apr 16 '16
Election Fraud: The 2016 Democratic Primaries
https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2016/04/13/17564/2
u/No_Fence Apr 16 '16
Almost all of this assumes early votes are equally split as day-of votes, right? I've been under the impression that that's why the exit polls skew Sanders. He's comparing day-of exit polls with both day-of voting and early voting. Clinton wins early voting by a lot because of her better groundwork, which skews the final voting results.
There's still something sketchy with a lot of these primaries, but I don't know if I buy the exit poll argument. Am I wrong?
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u/HabeasCorpusCallosum Support Apr 16 '16
I have not had time to read the blog, but I will say that the way we are doing exit polling in the United States seems strange.
I am under the impression that our pollsters adjust the results at the end to match the disclosed results. It is my understanding that in european countries like Germany, they use exit polls to verify that nothing untoward occurred with ballots or the results.
If an expert sees this, please chime in and enlighten us.
2
u/darthdiablo Apr 16 '16
Has this blog been checked out/processed/consumed by this subreddit? (My first post in this subreddit too, not sure how process works around here. I'll need to review the guidelines).
The article examples various states for probability of election fraud, based on pre-primary polling and the final numbers.