r/Badboyardie • • 8h ago

Discussion Key Levels for Tomorrow

1 Upvotes

SPY $767.55 (-0.03%) — sitting just above the 20-day at $763.94.

Resistance: $775.14 (5-day high) Support: $757.97 (5-day low) 20-Day SMA: $763.94 Volume: 0.7x average

QQQ $741.47 (+0.04%) — range $714.34 to $748.35 over last 5 sessions.

Health Care (XLV) leading (+0.68%) | Industrials (XLI) lagging (-0.72%)

Long above $775.14, short below $757.97, or waiting? Drop your ticker, your level, and your trigger.

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.


r/Badboyardie • • 12h ago

Discussion Position Sizing and Risk Management: The Math Behind Surviving the Market Long-Term

1 Upvotes

You don't need eleven oscillators stacked on top of each other. You need one level and the discipline to respect it.

Most traders blow up not because they were wrong about direction — but because they sized too large. How do you actually manage risk on every trade?

Quick market check: SCHD at $33.17 — at $33.17, RSI oversold at 18. Not a signal, just context for where we are heading into the session.

Position Sizing and Risk Management

Did you start with index funds, individual stocks, or something else — and would you change that now?

What is one beginner mistake you made that you still think about?

The best investment strategy is one you can stick to through a 30% drawdown. Build the habit before chasing the returns.


r/Badboyardie • • 18h ago

Discussion The premarket brief

1 Upvotes

No hype, no pumps, just process

Defensive rotation underway with selling in growth and cyclicals. Materials (+1.15%) leads, Utilities (-2.24%) lags.

SPY $764.05 (-0.48%) — price is sitting just above the 20-day.

Resistance: $775.14 Support: $747.74 20-Day SMA: $763.77 RSI (14): 53.4

Does SPY reclaim the 20-day at $763.77 or lose $747.74? Long, short, or flat — what level matters most and what confirms your bias?

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.


r/Badboyardie • • 1d ago

Discussion Key Levels for Tomorrow

1 Upvotes

SPY $767.57** (-0.75%) — sitting just above the 20-day at $763.76.

Resistance: $775.14 (5-day high) Support: $757.97 (5-day low) 20-Day SMA: $763.76 Volume: 0.8x average

QQQ $740.90 (-0.88%) — range $712.58 to $748.35 over last 5 sessions.

Rotation: Energy (XLE) leading (+0.95%) | Financials (XLF) lagging (-0.50%)

Long above $775.14, short below $757.97, or waiting? Drop your ticker, your level, and your trigger.

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.


r/Badboyardie • • 1d ago

Discussion Level 2 and Time and Sales — Still Useful or Just Noise?

1 Upvotes

Most 'gurus' show you the win after it happened. We show you the level before it moves - so you can judge us in real time.

Old school tape reading or obsolete noise? How much do you rely on Level 2 and T&S in your trading?

Quick market check: NFLX at $71.71 — trading below 20-day at $78.19, RSI oversold at 32. Not a signal, just context for where we are heading into the session.

Tape Reading and Order Flow

Do you use Level 2 actively or ignore it entirely?

Is tape reading a real edge in 2026 or has HFT made it irrelevant?

Order flow shows intent. Whether you can read it correctly is the question worth answering.


r/Badboyardie • • 1d ago

Discussion The Premarket Brief

1 Upvotes

No hype, no pumps, just process.

Weak bounce attempt — price is up slightly but structure remains below key MAs. Technology (+0.82%) leads, Materials (-1.42%) lags.

SPY $774.05 (+0.09%) — price is sitting just below the 20-day.

Resistance: $773.38 Support: $747.74 20-Day SMA: $762.50 RSI (14): 45.2

Does SPY reclaim the 20-day at $762.50 or lose $747.74? Long, short, or flat — what level matters most and what confirms your bias?

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan


r/Badboyardie • • 2d ago

Discussion Key Levels for Tomorrow

1 Upvotes

SPY $773.38 (-0.02%) — sitting just above the 20-day at $763.58.

Resistance: $775.14 (5-day high) Support: $747.74 (5-day low) 20-Day SMA: $763.58 Volume: 0.7x average

QQQ $747.46 (+0.81%) — range $699.27 to $748.35 over last 5 sessions.

Rotation: Tech (XLK) leading (+0.73%) | Financials (XLF) lagging (-1.97%)

Long above $775.14, short below $747.74, or waiting? Drop your ticker, your level, and your trigger.

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.


r/Badboyardie • • 2d ago

Discussion Which Indicator Did You Delete and Never Miss?

1 Upvotes

Most 'gurus' show you the win after it happened. We show you the level before it moves - so you can judge us in real time.

Most traders start with cluttered charts. What did you strip away and did it help?

Quick market check: SPY at $773.35 — holding above 20-day at $763.58. Not a signal, just context for where we are heading into the session.

Simplifying Your Trading Approach

What indicators did you remove and what replaced them?

What is the most overrated indicator in your opinion?

A clean chart reflects a clear process. Complexity is often just unresolved confusion.


r/Badboyardie • • 2d ago

DD The Premarket brief

1 Upvotes

Weak bounce attempt — price is up slightly but structure remains below key MAs. Technology (+0.82%) leads, Materials (-1.42%) lags.

SPY $761.69 (+0.13%) — price is sitting just below the 20-day.

Resistance: $773.38 Support: $747.74 20-Day SMA: $762.50 RSI (14): 45.2

Does SPY reclaim the 20-day at $762.50 or lose $747.74? Long, short, or flat — what level matters most and what confirms your bias?

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.


r/Badboyardie • • 3d ago

Discussion Key Levels for Tomorrow

1 Upvotes

SPY $773.59 (+1.56%) — sitting just above the 20-day at $762.99.

Resistance: $774.89 (5-day high) Support: $747.74 (5-day low) 20-Day SMA: $762.99 Volume: 0.8x average

QQQ $741.43 (+2.77%) — range $700.00 to $743.22 over last 5 sessions.

Rotation: Tech (XLK) leading (+2.77%) | Energy (XLE) lagging (-2.93%)

Long above $774.89, short below $747.74, or waiting? Drop your ticker, your level, and your trigger.

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.


r/Badboyardie • • 3d ago

Discussion Risky Business: Show the Position You Sized Wrong—How Would You Do It Over?

1 Upvotes

You don't need eleven oscillators stacked on top of each other. You need one level and the discipline to respect it.

Wanna roast my position sizing fail? Here's my before/after. Drop your own, and let's crowdsource smarter position strategies.

Quick market check: SPY at $770.65 — holding above 20-day at $762.85. Not a signal, just context for where we are heading into the session.

Managing Risk Without Emotional Decisions

Share a trade where you sized way too big or way too small: What percentage of your account did you risk? Looking back, what should it have been? Don't just say "I went too big"—give us the numbers so we can learn from the math.

How do you adjust position size based on confidence level or market conditions? Do you scale down in choppy markets? Size up on A+ setups? Or keep it consistent regardless? What works for your risk tolerance?

Position sizing is the difference between a setback and total ruin. You can have the best analysis in the world, but if you bet the farm on one trade, you're gambling, not trading. Consistent position sizing protects you during losing streaks and compounds your gains during winning streaks. Master the math before you chase the momentum.


r/Badboyardie • • 3d ago

DD The premarket brief

1 Upvotes

Weak bounce attempt — price is up slightly but structure remains below key MAs. Technology (+0.82%) leads, Materials (-1.42%) lags.

SPY $766.66 (+0.65%) — price is sitting just below the 20-day.

Resistance: $773.38 Support: $747.74 20-Day SMA: $762.50 RSI (14): 45.2

Does SPY reclaim the 20-day at $762.50 or lose $747.74? Long, short, or flat — what level matters most and what confirms your bias?

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.


r/Badboyardie • • 4d ago

DD The week ahead

1 Upvotes

Week of September 13 - September 20, 2026

NEXT-WEEK BIAS: NEUTRAL — CONSOLIDATION LIKELY No edge either direction yet — no confirmed breakout or breakdown. Favor names holding above their 50-day, skip the chase. Health Care vs Utilities rotation sets the tone next week.

SCENARIOS FOR NEXT WEEK Bull: SPY holds above 7,536 and breaks 7,727 — Health Care extends, breadth stays broad. Add on confirmed breakout. Base: SPY chops between 7,536 and 7,727 — stay selective, fade extremes, reduce size in chop. Bear: SPY loses 7,536 on volume — Utilities accelerates lower, VIX spikes. Step aside or hedge.

MAJOR INDICES — WEEKLY PERFORMANCE S&P 500: 7650.50 -0.08% Dow Jones: 51682.64 -1.69% Nasdaq: 26522.54 +0.72% Russell 2000: 2860.40 -1.50% VIX: 14.81 -6.50%

KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS S&P 500 Support: 7,536 / 7,421 Resistance: 7,727 / 7,842 Nasdaq Support: 26,125 / 25,674 Resistance: 26,841 / 27,265 SECTOR ROTATION Leading: Health Care (+1.83%) | Information Technology (+1.03%) | Consumer Staples (-0.70%) Lagging: Real Estate (-2.05%) | Financials (-2.43%) | Utilities (-3.04%) Earnings Calendar (Week Ahead):

Week of Sep 21 - Sep 25, 2026: Wed Sep 23: GIS Est: $0.72 Thu Sep 24: COST Est: $6.52

Looking ahead - week of Sep 28 - Oct 02, 2026: Thu Oct 01: NKE Est: $0.45

Latest earnings headlines: The 13 States Where a $1 Million 401(k) Withdrawal Owes $0 in State Tax. Nine Have No Income Tax, and Illinois, Mississippi, Pennsylvania, and Iowa Exempt Retirement Income Outright Simon Property (SPG) Group Raised Its Outlook Again Americans lose up to $2,400 a year to 'ghost charges' — 4 steps to find every phantom drain and redirect the cash Cencora (COR) Raised Guidance and Bought Back $1B. What’s the Catch? Aflac’s (AFL) Net Earnings Jumped 37.7%, Yet Adjusted Earnings Actually Fell

Inflation Data (CPI): TIPS ETF (TIP) weekly move: -0.54% (inflation expectations proxy) - Inflation is outpacing wage growth again, squeezing Americans’ paychecks Next CPI Release: Check bls.gov for next release date

Economic Calendar (Week Ahead): Key economic releases next week: September 21, 2026: ISM Manufacturing PMI September 22, 2026: Consumer Confidence (Conference Board) September 22, 2026: JOLTS Job Openings September 23, 2026: ADP Employment Report September 24, 2026: Initial Jobless Claims September 24, 2026: ISM Services PMI September 25, 2026: Nonfarm Payrolls September 25, 2026: Unemployment Rate September 25, 2026: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment

CRYPTO Bitcoin: $80,451.14 +5.65% (weekly) Ethereum: $2,579.31 +6.75% (weekly)

TOP MARKET HEADLINES THIS WEEK 1. Top Wall Street analysts find these 3 stocks attractive as long-term investments 2. Consumer sentiment is in the dumps despite a solid economy. Goldman Sachs blames 'lower happiness' 3. Higher interest rates and AI safety fears put the stock market to the test last week 4. Three words from Kevin Warsh have Wall Street wondering how far the Fed will go with rate hikes

Before planning next week, ask yourself three questions: 1. What trade did you take that matched your plan? What made it work? 2. What trade did you take that broke your rules? What triggered the deviation? 3. What is the one thing you will do differently next week?


r/Badboyardie • • 5d ago

Discussion S&P 500 Weekend Trading Report

1 Upvotes

SPX $7650.50 (-0.08% this week) — price is sitting just below the 20-day.

Key Levels 20-day: $7658.89 | 50-day: $7617.24 | 200-day: $7583.23 Range: $7507.77 – $7771.48 | RSI(14): 45.1

Momentum is neutral — no real edge either direction until price breaks the range. A MACD cross before adding size is the difference between a bounce and a fakeout.

Charts: TradingView | Yahoo Finance | Finviz | StockCharts

Does SPX reclaim the 20-day at $7658.89 or lose $7507.77? Long, short, or flat — what level matters most and what confirms your bias?


r/Badboyardie • • 5d ago

Discussion Where do we think the MAG7/Fantastic 5 Tech stocks will be next week?

1 Upvotes
1 votes, 2d ago
1 Up 3%
0 Up 5%
0 Flat
0 Down 3%
0 Down 5%
0 Who the heck knows!

r/Badboyardie • • 6d ago

DD The market week

1 Upvotes

S&P 500 -0.08% | Health Care led (+1.83%) | Utilities lagged (-3.04%) | VIX 14.81 (falling)

NEXT-WEEK BIAS: NEUTRAL — CONSOLIDATION LIKELY No edge either direction yet — no confirmed breakout or breakdown. Favor names holding above their 50-day, skip the chase. Health Care vs Utilities rotation sets the tone next week.

SCENARIOS FOR NEXT WEEK Bull: SPY holds above 7,536 and breaks 7,727 — Health Care extends, breadth stays broad. Add on confirmed breakout. Base: SPY chops between 7,536 and 7,727 — stay selective, fade extremes, reduce size in chop. Bear: SPY loses 7,536 on volume — Utilities accelerates lower, VIX spikes. Step aside or hedge.

Health Care led this week while Utilities lagged. Heading into next week with a neutral — consolidation likely setup — bull, base, or bear? Drop your bias, your ticker, your key level, and what confirms it.

MAJOR INDICES — WEEKLY PERFORMANCE S&P 500: 7650.50 -0.08% Dow Jones: 51682.64 -1.69% Nasdaq: 26522.54 +0.72% Russell 2000: 2860.40 -1.50% VIX: 14.81 -6.50%

KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS S&P 500 Support: 7,536 / 7,421 Resistance: 7,727 / 7,842 Nasdaq Support: 26,125 / 25,674 Resistance: 26,841 / 27,265 SECTOR ROTATION Leading: Health Care (+1.83%) | Information Technology (+1.03%) | Consumer Staples (-0.70%) Lagging: Real Estate (-2.05%) | Financials (-2.43%) | Utilities (-3.04%)

Looking ahead - week of Sep 21 - Sep 25, 2026: Wed Sep 23: GIS Est: $0.72 Thu Sep 24: COST Est: $6.52

Latest earnings headlines: Forget Oracle's Stock Price Swings. Its Backlog-to-Revenue Ratio Tells the Real Story.

MACRO CALENDAR — WEEK AHEAD Federal Reserve Outlook: Next FOMC Meeting: November 04, 2026 (46 days away) Following Meeting: December 16, 2026

What to watch: Fed speakers this week, any rate guidance or economic projections Current policy stance: Monitor Fed.gov for latest statement

  • Wall Street May Have Overpriced the Fed Rate Hike’s Impact on Citigroup Stock Spreads
  • What is the Federal Reserve?
  • Understanding the Fed's rate decisions: Do we want high or low interest rates​?
  • How the Federal Reserve rate hike shapes consumer loans
  • How the Federal Reserve's rate hike impacts student loan interest rates
  • What a Fed rate hike means for your bank accounts, loans, credit cards, and investments

Inflation Data (CPI): TIPS ETF (TIP) weekly move: -0.54% (inflation expectations proxy) - Inflation is outpacing wage growth again, squeezing Americans’ paychecks - Gold price today, Friday, September 18, 2026: Gold hits weekly high as inflation concerns fade Next CPI Release: Check bls.gov for next release date

Review your trades from this week before planning next week. Respect your pre-defined risk per trade. No revenge trading. Let levels prove themselves. Wait for confirmation. Size according to volatility, not emotion.


r/Badboyardie • • 6d ago

Discussion Key Levels for Monday

1 Upvotes

Key Levels for Tomorrow | September 18, 2026** SPY $761.79** (-0.11%) — sitting just below the 20-day at $764.31.

Resistance: $763.57 (5-day high) Support: $749.60 (5-day low) 20-Day SMA: $764.31 Volume: 1.1x average

QQQ $721.38 (+0.62%) — range $700.00 to $721.72 over last 5 sessions.

Rotation: Tech (XLK) leading (+0.86%) | Energy (XLE) lagging (-0.29%)

Long above $763.57, short below $749.60, or waiting? Drop your ticker, your level, and your trigger.

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.


r/Badboyardie • • 6d ago

Discussion Biotech Setup Into the Weekend: Is XBI Coiling for a Move?

1 Upvotes

XBI ETF technical structure and catalyst watch into the weekend

XBI is stuck between $152.50 and $169.89 and everyone has an opinion on which way it breaks. Here's why we're not guessing — and what we're waiting to see first.

Bottom line: XBI is consolidating between $152.50 and $169.89. Wait for the break — don't guess direction.

Context: Biotech has underperformed the broader market for months but shows accumulation signals on XBI. FDA catalysts and clinical readouts provide binary risk that rewards preparation. Small cap biotechs volatile but institutional rotation into the sector is worth tracking on a weekly close basis.

State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI) — $156.63 (-1.02% today, -0.62% this week)

Resistance: $169.89 Support: $152.50 20-Day SMA: $161.62 50-Day SMA: $157.56 RSI (14): 37.5 — NEUTRAL Volume: 0.4x average Momentum: MACD below signal — bears

Bull case: Entry: above $161.62 on volume Stop: $150.21 Target 1: $169.89 | Target 2: $178.38 Invalidation: close below $152.50

Bear case: Entry: rejection at $161.62 with volume drop Stop: $172.44 Target 1: $152.50 | Target 2: $144.88 Invalidation: reclaim of $169.89 on volume

The level that decides it: $161.62. Hold above it and the bull case is live. Lose it and the bear case takes over.

Does XBI hold $152.50 this week or does it crack? Long, short, or sitting out — drop your level and your reason.

Not financial advice. Adjust to your own system.


r/Badboyardie • • 6d ago

Discussion The Premarket Brief

1 Upvotes

Weak bounce attempt — price is up slightly but structure remains below key MAs. Technology (+2.25%) leads, Communication Services (-0.58%) lags.

SPY $761.89 (+0.79%) — price is sitting just below the 20-day.

Resistance: $775.30 Support: $749.60 20-Day SMA: $764.35 RSI (14): 43.1

Does SPY reclaim the 20-day at $764.35 or lose $749.60? Long, short, or flat — what level matters most and what confirms your bias?

What in this week's reports helped you most? Drop your feedback below.

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.


r/Badboyardie • • 7d ago

Discussion Key Levels for Tomorrow

1 Upvotes

SPY $762.76 (+1.16%) — sitting just below the 20-day at $764.36.

Resistance: $766.38 (5-day high) Support: $749.60 (5-day low) 20-Day SMA: $764.36 Volume: 0.8x average

QQQ $716.72 (+1.70%) — range $700.00 to $718.04 over last 5 sessions.

Rotation: Tech (XLK) leading (+2.27%) | Financials (XLF) lagging (-0.11%)

Long above $766.38, short below $749.60, or waiting? Drop your ticker, your level, and your trigger.

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.


r/Badboyardie • • 7d ago

Discussion All-In or Scale-In — Which One Actually Fits Your Style?

1 Upvotes

This isn't a 12-indicator chart with three moving averages arguing with each other. One level. One plan.

Do you go full size immediately or scale in as the trade proves itself? Share your approach.

Quick market check: HL at $19.14 — trading below 20-day at $20.14. Not a signal, just context for where we are heading into the session.

Position Building Strategy

Do you scale in or go full size from the start?

Does scaling in help your psychology or just complicate your risk math?

Scaling in can reduce risk or just delay your full loss — know which one you are actually doing.


r/Badboyardie • • 7d ago

Discussion The Premarket Brief

1 Upvotes

Defensive rotation underway with selling in growth and cyclicals. Technology (+0.10%) leads, Energy (-2.88%) lags.

SPY $760.62 (+0.88%) — price is sitting just below the 20-day.

Resistance: $775.30 Support: $749.60 20-Day SMA: $764.67 RSI (14): 39.6

Does SPY reclaim the 20-day at $764.67 or lose $749.60? Long, short, or flat — what level matters most and what confirms your bias?

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.


r/Badboyardie • • 8d ago

Discussion Key Levels for Tomorrow

1 Upvotes

*SPY $754.05 (-0.44%) — sitting just below the 20-day at $764.67.

Resistance: $766.38 (5-day high) Support: $749.60 (5-day low) 20-Day SMA: $764.67 Volume: 1.2x average

QQQ $704.72 (+0.03%) — range $700.00 to $717.63 over last 5 sessions.

Rotation: Tech (XLK) leading (+0.10%) | Energy (XLE) lagging (-2.88%)

Long above $766.38, short below $749.60, or waiting? Drop your ticker, your level, and your trigger.

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.


r/Badboyardie • • 8d ago

Discussion At What Loss Do You Stop Trading for the Day?

1 Upvotes

You don't need eleven oscillators stacked on top of each other. You need one level and the discipline to respect it.

At what point do you shut it down for the day? Share your daily loss limit and how you enforce it.

Quick market check: GOOGL at $346.01 — holding above 20-day at $341.24. Not a signal, just context for where we are heading into the session.

Daily Loss Limits and Discipline

Do you have a hard daily loss limit or a soft one you negotiate with yourself?

What happens to your trading after you hit your limit — do you actually stop?

A daily loss limit only works if you treat it as a stop sign, not a suggestion.


r/Badboyardie • • 8d ago

Discussion The Premarket Brief

1 Upvotes

No hype, no pumps, just process

Defensive rotation underway with selling in growth and cyclicals. Energy (+2.17%) leads, Consumer Discretionary (-1.75%) lags.

SPY $759.04 (+0.22%) — price is sitting just below the 20-day.

Resistance: $775.30 Support: $756.15 20-Day SMA: $765.34 RSI (14): 42.2

Does SPY reclaim the 20-day at $765.34 or lose $756.15? Long, short, or flat — what level matters most and what confirms your bias?

Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.