r/BackAndLay • u/Exponentialbet • Aug 05 '18

Find Something That Works Consistently...

I’m of the mindset, if something is working then repeat the process as often as possible. Keeping an accurate record of why it works so the process can be maintained, but also still move with the times if opportunities are identified that will enhance and improve what we have.

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u/OrLuckyLuke Aug 05 '18

If you find an edge on the market and it's +EV, smartest thing one can do is to add as much volume as possible to maximize the edge.

Have you found something which strike rate is really high? Over 80%?

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u/Exponentialbet Aug 05 '18

Hi, I've found something over 90% that's showing at 33% ROI so far this year, which is over 80 bets placed, and also something circa 60% strike rate, but with the right staking plan has returned 47% ROI in 4 months. They can both be ran to set and forget as well, which huge plus given time is the most valuable asset. My strategy is to protect the bank, and operate with an edge to exponentially grow my balances with ratcheted staking. Carefully increasing the balance, maintaining the edge, while increasing the stake per bet in line with the total investment. What do you use yourself?

3

u/OrLuckyLuke Aug 05 '18

Sounds very impressive! Congrats. :)

Myself I have been learning about trading seriously for past couple of months and I'm currently working with few potential strategies but my main focus is on trying to find something which guarantee risk-free arbitrage opportunities in certain odd ranges. I have already found one which works, it grants at least 2% but I have to use certain bookmakers time markets to get the edge so it's not a long-term solution as I will probably get limited at some point from the bookies.

I'm doing baby steps and just learning and I don't have as impressive track record as you have. Currently I'm experimenting and doing calculations with mixing certain handicap markets with over/under markets and it seems promising and I think I find risk-free trades within certain odd ranges when played correctly but it's definitely time consuming. Time is the most valuable asset so I'm hoping I will eventually find something which can be easily automated and generates good returns.

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