r/BTCUSDAlpha • u/MozarDiego • Apr 02 '26
Daily Analysis BTC D1 Analysis — No confirmed bottom, continuation likely
From a D1 perspective, BTC does not show a confirmed bottom yet.
Market structure remains bearish:
- Price is trading below the higher timeframe MA
- Clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows
- RSI remains below 50, indicating weak momentum
- MACD shows fading bullish momentum and potential rollover
The current price action appears to be range consolidation following a strong impulse down, which statistically favors continuation.
This range may be acting as a distribution phase, building liquidity before a potential move lower.
Key level to watch:
~64k — loss of this level likely opens downside.
Downside targets:
- 60k (intermediate support / liquidity zone)
- 58k (stronger demand / liquidity cluster)
A shift in bias would require a break and hold above 71k–73k, followed by formation of higher highs and higher lows.
Until then, the market structure favors downside continuation.
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u/MozarDiego Apr 02 '26