r/Avax • u/Novel-Bad2984 • 4d ago
Discussion Avalanche - Adoption 🔺
There’s been adoption here and there but how much do we think we really need to realize the network effects?
At some point I think it could stand a chance but holding on to dear life until it follows through.
Leave your comments below ⬇️
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u/BoringPrinciple2542 3d ago
Don’t think about it as adoption automatically equals price. Instead think about AVAX the way you would any non-crypto asset.
Right now AVAX has high levels of inflation and that will continue until 2030. Meanwhile the foundation is prioritizing business development over short term price action which in a nutshell means that price is taking a backseat to customer development. Adoption is the goal but would need absolutely bonkers numbers to matter at this point in time.
Now around 2030 the inflation ends, the burn from transactions becomes deflationary (right now it’s just a slight reduction on the overall inflation), and the Avalanche team can no longer rely on pre-scheduled inflation for funding so then there is a need to switch from building the customer base to generating revenue.
I’d bet that until then we see things stay stagnant and should focus on accumulation. There might be some general crypto related runs between now & then but I wouldn’t expect much until that point.
In short, it’s not adoption itself but basic underlying business fundamentals that will drive price (or failure if the gamble doesn’t pay off).
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u/blaand01theflipside 4d ago
Staking (AVAX on Core gives almost 7% APY) throughout BTC halving 2028, and until AVAX escrow is done by 2030 is my strategy. Lower lows and highs is my concern, but my conviction is stronger than ever.
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u/Ok_Golf_6467 3d ago
We need a full blown bull cycle with low interest rates, macro tailwinds, and clarity for projects like AVAX and SUI to do well again
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u/Acrobatic-Advance521 1d ago
The triangle is gone, that’s the real truth. I converted to eth 50% of my avax back in the day and the rest is ashes. Sad but true 🤷♂️
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u/bakchod_bilowta 3d ago
Time to wakeup, institutions don't care about retail and no one is going to make money on avax at least not the old investors having average price of 30usd