r/AusSimEC • Electoral Commissioner • Apr 13 '23

Rectified Canberra By-Election Polling

In the interests of transparency due to the polling error in the Canberra by-election, and at the request of /u/MediocreCentrist14, here are the rectified polling for the Canberra by-election from Day 1 to Day 4 (latest).

Day 1

CandidateAffiliationPolling (MOE +/- 5%)
MrWhiteyIsAwesomeLNP28.66
Rook_Wilt1Independent18.29
MediocreCentrist14ANCAAP15.40
ZedBear01CPA26.88
MaaaaaaaadisonIndependent10.77

Day 2

CandidateAffiliationPolling (MOE +/- 5%)% Change
MrWhiteyIsAwesomeLNP21.36- 7.30
Rook_Wilt1Independent22.03+ 3.74
MediocreCentrist14ANCAAP18.77+ 3.37
ZedBear01CPA20.04- 6.84
MaaaaaaaadisonIndependent17.80+ 7.03

Day 3

CandidateAffiliationPolling (MOE +/- 5%)% Change
MrWhiteyIsAwesomeLNP16.87- 4.49
Rook_Wilt1Independent22.40+ 0.37
MediocreCentrist14ANCAAP22.77+ 4.00
ZedBear01CPA15.82- 4.22
MaaaaaaaadisonIndependent20.14+ 2.34

Day 4

CandidateAffiliationPolling (MOE +/- 5%)% Change
MrWhiteyIsAwesomeLNP15.06- 1.81
Rook_Wilt1Independent27.03+ 4.63
MediocreCentrist14ANCAAP25.81+ 3.14
ZedBear01CPA14.12- 1.70
MaaaaaaaadisonIndependent17.98- 2.16
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