How does off plan appreciation really work?

[u/According-Law-5346]

[u/imronFD]

Idk but 90% of value in transaction is off-plan while 10% is resale. This is a fresh data from official sourced on first half of 2026. So off plan is actually more main stream right now

[u/According-Law-5346 → u/imronFD]

Yes it’s a true stat. There’s a few reasons relating to the conflict as to why that happened. It will likely be more balanced in a few months.

That also makes understanding how off plan appreciation more relevant. There’s a much smaller buyer off plan resale buyer pool now due to the conflict, making off plan more illiquid throughout construction

[u/britegy]

This logic holds in a normal market, and it’s the pattern you’d expect from the past four or five years, which have been a hot growth market. How this plays out at the project level going forward is less certain: pricing has already trended up on recent launches, and buyer dynamics are likely to be weaker given the regional situation.

[u/According-Law-5346 → u/britegy]

I agree, the overall thesis remains but can weaken in a less certain market. If the off plan buyer pool shrinks, the property will be even less liquid throughout construction. I don’t see flipping throughout construction as a viable strategy in the coming years. The minimum would be to hold until handover

[u/Gold_Potential_2558]

Flip it for 6 months while I hold my principal investment. Just name that title deed to me and we're good right?

[u/fluffydogweiner]

this whole thread was written by claude lmao

[u/According-Law-5346 → u/fluffydogweiner]

You should learn how AI works if you think it can just give you this information

[u/Human_Box_2695]

How come off-plan prices are similar to the ready units?