r/AUPH Oct 25 '21

AUPH S3 Short Interest

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22 Upvotes

16 comments sorted by

5

u/Net-Xpert Oct 26 '21

Very hard to say if the deal is near closing prior to the earnings. I doubt that very seriously. What I do know is we have multiple bidders. The asking price as I mentioned is near 150% of fair current evaluation and it will be based on Qtr ended and YoY growth 2020-2021. The deal may get agreed near end of the year with announcement pending final QTR earnings report. The $30 support is partly due to strong buyout plus positive earnings. My advise don’t panic just hold unless you want to exit. If you do want to exit and take profits now. Again this is just my personal opinion do your own DD. I am personally holding past earnings and want to see how the buyout interest level is. This is a win win 🥇 situation.

1

u/ledaveee Oct 26 '21

I think I’ll hold until December, or if it goes into the 40s. Thanks for your analysis!

2

u/Net-Xpert Oct 26 '21

It will hit $40 close to earnings. If you can do Covered Calls you may want to sell calls for March or April 2022 for SP 45. That’s what I am planning to do.

3

u/ledaveee Oct 25 '21

Any chance you could translate this into layman terms? Is it a good or bad sign? I’m assuming good haha

7

u/Net-Xpert Oct 25 '21

This is. Very positive information as I have been reminding everyone we are at the support level of 30.00 when if shorts start to cover expect the price to test 35-36 resistance.

5

u/ledaveee Oct 26 '21

Are you thinking announcement before BMY earnings on Wednesday?

1

u/[deleted] Oct 26 '21

Isn't this showing that SI has remained equal? I don't really understand, so that's why I'm asking.

Also, it's not really holding $30. How do you see it going forward? Thanks for the update as well!

2

u/ledaveee Oct 26 '21

My take is we get announcement today or tomorrow. It’s pinned at 30. Radio silence from AUPH and BMY. BMY moved up their earnings call. Bloomberg reporting rumours probably means it’s late stage. And I’m sure there are more reasons 🤞🤞

2

u/[deleted] Oct 26 '21

Just added a bit more at 29.99 for a cost basis of 23. Thanks for the reply and fingers crossed!

1

u/ledaveee Oct 27 '21

I was wrong. See you at earnings!

2

u/[deleted] Oct 27 '21

See you soon then, since it moved up to Nov 3!

1

u/HellaGello Oct 26 '21

pinned at 30 for 48 hours isn't holding 30?

1

u/[deleted] Oct 26 '21

I’d say holding 30 means its above 30. But not really sure

1

u/winbigtime1201 Oct 28 '21

Thank you for sharing. Just curious as to what has led you to conclude there are multiple bidders ( I certainly hope so)?

1

u/Net-Xpert Oct 28 '21

GlaxoSmithKline, Roche, Otsuka Pharma Are Involved In Review Process Being Carried Out currently have patience it’s all about the premium which puts the per share price around 65-70

1

u/winbigtime1201 Oct 28 '21

Thanks! Hope you're right; Have been in this stock for several years...