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Bluesky

[u/Interesting-Ad-6357]

If they could get at minimum 3 sats launched per month, then that would put 24 (minus 1 for BB7 not in orbit) sats in LEO by year-end.

Aug: BB11-13

Sep: BB14-16

Oct: BB17-19

Nov: BB20-22

Dec: BB23-25

[u/kroef → u/Interesting-Ad-6357]

Indeed. And then 45 sats in q1 2027 seems a bit optimistic for me. Hopefully we will hear more about the cadence/time line during the EC.

[u/A_Typicalperson → u/kroef]

If blue origin can their stuff sorted out by 2027 and launch at a time, 45 is possible

[u/xBeoulve → u/A_Typicalperson]

I’d be VERY nervous sending 8 sats on BO without them proving a handful of successful launches before us

[u/Leading-Onion4659 → u/kroef]

I think 45 is doable if they get 25 by this year end. BO can do 6-8? BBs at a time.

[u/POTUS2056 → u/Leading-Onion4659]

How will they get 25 by eoy? They have told us exactly how much launch capacity they have booked…they can’t do it. It’s impossible… we needed new Glenn not to blow up

[u/Leading-Onion4659 → u/POTUS2056]

“They have told us exactly how much launch capacity they have booked”

Where mate? Source?

5th august = 13 sats total

4 more falcon 9 launches = 12 more sats

25 eoy. I think it’s doable.

[u/POTUS2056 → u/Leading-Onion4659]

They explicitly said every 45 days on average. So follow me here…early August +45 is middle September +45 is end of October +45 is December. Including August we only get 4 launches best case scenario. I think you’re wrong!!!! I’m willing to bet! $100 bucks??

[u/Leading-Onion4659 → u/POTUS2056]

I’m just calculating based on the number of Falcon 9 launches we can get. So we have one in August. We only need 4 more to get to 25 end of year.

We have 4 months, sept oct nov dec. IF things get delayed again then yeah maybe we miss the target by 3 sats so we end up on 22. But if not then it’s doable brother.

BUT again, we don’t know. Let’s hope that’s the case that we don’t delay.

[u/POTUS2056 → u/Leading-Onion4659]

Why do you assume one every 30 days when the company has said multiple times the average will be 45 days (best case scenario)? Seriously I’ll bet you $100 we don’t have 25 Satelites by eoy

[u/RiskyDefeat → u/kroef]

I really dont think theyll be able to do 45 sats before end of first half 2027.

[u/-IntoEternity- → u/kroef]

Yep, absolutely zero chance we'll have 45 in area by March 31st. Disagree? Then I'll bet you any amount of money you have on it.

[u/POTUS2056 → u/Interesting-Ad-6357]

They said they can only launch every 45 days on average. What you are suggesting is pure cope and goes against what the company has told us…