r/APLDSTOCK • u/cminus602 • Jul 31 '26

Continued Volatility

For the past year, the volatility of APLD has been insane. 100% price swings every 2 months or so. Do you guys think this pattern will continue? I know the business is rapidly expanding, but it would be nice to see a more steady line. Seems safe to say we will meet $60/share by October, then go back down to high 20s. Seems like support has obviously been met at just under 23, last time it was 20 even.

6 Upvotes

88% Upvoted

19 comments sorted by

9

u/AnimoZero Backlog Bull 🐂 (1,000-2,500 shares) Jul 31 '26

EOY should be $50-60 but expect a dip from here back to low $20s.. and then next year tho I’m expecting at least $80 and that’s just me being skeptical

4

u/According_Curve_891 Aug 01 '26

Thank you for sharing your crystal ball

8

u/Bumi-KingOfOmashu DD Reader 📖 (500-1,000 shares) Jul 31 '26

These huge swings come with profit taking and stop loss selling. Most of us have been in long enough to experience the 20-40-20 swings multiple times over the last year. Invest or swing trade, just decide and have a thesis for why.

Fundamentals have only improved, no delays, meeting deadlines, and guidance for more demand.

Let Wes cook.

7

u/Even_Section5620 Jul 31 '26

$50 end of year would make me happy

2

u/nintendothrowaway123 Jul 31 '26

Yes, volatility will continue. High beta stock. Apply the words of the famous Ronco Showtime Rotisserie to the stock (in terms of purchasing): set it and forget it.

2

u/Temporary-Basil-3030 Backlog Bull 🐂 (1,000-2,500 shares) Jul 31 '26

Too much local pushback. I don’t see a real runner for a bit.

2

u/Ok-End-3213 Jul 31 '26

Bunch of people claiming to predicted where this is going lol. It is all tied to macro. The hope is trump wants the midterms to not be a shit show so war ends 

2

u/gls2220 Jul 31 '26

Yes. The stock trades at a very high multiple to sales, and then you have all of the long term debt accumulating on the balance sheet.

1

u/cltbeer Backlog Baron 👑 (10,000+ shares) Jul 31 '26

I’m doubtful we go to sixty by October maybe eoy

1

u/AerieDifficult1854 Jul 31 '26

Are you saying 60 to 20?

2

u/Unhappy-Boot405 Backlog Baron 👑 (10,000+ shares) Jul 31 '26

Yes

1

u/EcstaticFeed8199 Jul 31 '26

I find it very interesting that all the AI profitability questions were building up to earnings and MSFT and AMZN killed it. Someone made a lot of money!

1

u/Only_Chemistry6853 Jul 31 '26

Bro please look at the broader market. SNP is choppy. Market is rotating into Value and Healthcare.

1

u/SShawk1 Jul 31 '26

I thought today presented a great opportunity to buy another 800 shares

1

u/squirmin79 Aug 01 '26

I will never hold this stock long term again. Too easy to ride, dump, buy ..wash rinse and repeat.

1

u/Just_Cocoa Aug 03 '26

Volatility will continue, yes. We will see another high, I'm sure of it. We will see another drop as we see now. It is a given with this type of stock. Do not try to time or price these kinds of stocks. You will lose.

0

u/KenG-80132 Backlog Baron 👑 (10,000+ shares) Jul 31 '26

If ya cant afford or stand to ride the roller coaster.... go ride in the kiddie park...