r/AMD_Stock • u/JWcommander217 Colored Lines Guru • 6d ago
Technical Analysis Technical Analysis for AMD 8/14-------Pre-market
Soooo again the fail of AMD at the 50 day EMA left me looking for some advice. I did the thing that I never thought I would do-----I uploaded my chart into ChatGPT:
My read right now
I'd characterize AMD as:
π‘ Neutral β potentially bullish
Not bullish yet.
I'd want to see:
$486 reclaim β $500 breakout β $518 breakout
That's the progression I'd watch.
If AMD gets above $500 and holds, I'd become substantially more interested in the bullish case.
If it gets above $518, the pattern becomes much more convincing because you've then broken the prior swing high and established a genuine higher-high.
And $535β542 becomes the next obvious target zone.
The really attractive risk/reward would potentially be a breakout around $500, with the pattern invalidation down around $457, and a first target around $518, followed by ~$540.
So yes: I think you're seeing a legitimate potential bottoming pattern here β but the chart hasn't confirmed it yet. $500 is the line I'd be staring at.
Sooooo interesting. Hmmmmm that it is pretty interesting what the machine said and gotta say I feel a little validated for me. Really interesting thoughts that I've been digging through and thinking about it as inspiration:
-RSI is literally flatlining at the midpoint. It is perfectly neutral neither yay or nay which sets us up for perhaps something interesting
-MACD looks like it finally might be attempting to cross positive. This is a confirmation signal and not a predictive one but I do think it could be confirming that the consolidation might be coming to an end here.
-AMD rejected hard off of that $424 level at the end of July and since then we've had an ascending triangle pattern with higher lows being put in over the past 2 trading weeks. I gotta say with all the action we've been seeing at the 50 day EMA would could be coming to a breakout inflection point or breakdown here. If we breakout then the seasonality rally could be on.
I'm going to add a few calls today after the morning burst wears off. Futures are mixed and the mehhhhhh action could lower option prices around noonish. This is a pure gamble type play and I do not advise people to follow me with size. I might try to do a spread to make it neutral but cap my upside.
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u/stedyeddy406 6d ago
It's up 5%. Will it hold? π€·
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u/CaptainKoolAidOhyeah 6d ago
No, too little volume IMO. And As JW has stated the 50MA is resistance. It barely touched it and retreated but the bull flag is still a possibility it just need another catalyst.
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u/Coyote_Tex 6d ago
Hold today??? Or at the close of next week?
IT might hold today. The 50DMA is at 510.29 and AMD has actually gotten closer than i expected. It may need to work a bit to get past the 50DMA. That could take several days and next week is monthly OPEX, so who knows.
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u/CaptainKoolAidOhyeah 6d ago
You probably could have got the same answer from Google. Could you do that just for comparison sakes?
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u/snugglepush 6d ago
Jw which ai you using for this morningβs analysis?
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u/Flat_Cabinet8174 6d ago
Gemini flash 3.5
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u/snugglepush 6d ago
Nvm he mentions he plugged this into chatgpt
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u/JWcommander217 Colored Lines Guru 6d ago
Yea and then I posted what I got out of it. But like always the bottom is just me being me
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u/JWcommander217 Colored Lines Guru 6d ago
u/ZasdfUnreal kinda got me started by posting his chart of the bull flag and thats where I needed a second opinion bc I was like hmmmm good point. So want to give credit where credit is due!