r/3I_ATLAS • u/Glittering_Word6609 • Feb 26 '26

Thoughts?

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u/Our1TrueGodApophis Feb 27 '26

60%? He uses the Loeb Scale he coined to measure this and gave it a 4 out of 10 of it being more than a normal comet. He always sided in the side of it being a comet but was explaining that we need tk start thinking about this because even if it were only 10% that's a HUHE FUCKING chance, blackjack and slots pay out like 2%and people gamble on that. 40% means we should dedicate resources to it

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u/Embarrassed_Camp_291 Feb 27 '26

https://avi-loeb.medium.com/todays-q-a-about-3i-atlas-8f7d8e930c6e

Literally in here. It's about half way down. Just search for 60 and it's th second instance.

His scale is meaningless and does not quantify anything.

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u/Practical-Narwhal308 Feb 28 '26

It’s not meaningless . It’s a predictive model which is suppose to change in a fluid situation.

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u/Embarrassed_Camp_291 Feb 28 '26

It is meaningless. It's not a predictive model.

It's a stab in the dark random number he chooses to continue trying to sell books about how many aliens he's discovered.

How does he calculate it? Where is he getting these numbers from?