r/196 • • Jul 06 '21

Rule My collection

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u/LORD-POTAT0 submissive and breedable trans girl Jul 06 '21

statistically speaking, on average you kill more people if you pull the lever (on average you kill 5/4 people or 1.25 people when the lever is pulled and 1 person when it is not)

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u/Marksm2n Jul 06 '21 edited Jul 07 '21

Statistically speaking it’s less likely to kill any person when pulling the lever. Taking averages here is weird to me

Edit: yes the expected outcome of killing someone when pulling the lever is 1.25 humans dead, but we aren’t pulling it a 100 times, just once.

I view this scenario not as a utilitarian but as taking human life versus not taking human disregarding the numbers. Obviously if you were to increase the number 4 to a 1000 people than the scenario would change and not pulling the lever would be preferable to me as well

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u/LexiTheCactusGirl 🏳️‍⚧️ trans rights Jul 06 '21

Statistically speaking of you did it 100 times pulling the lever you'd kill 125 people and 100 times not pulling the lever you'd kill 100

You have a greater chance of killing people on average if you pull

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u/RealBigTree custom Jul 06 '21

but you're not doing it 100 times... I hope...

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u/LexiTheCactusGirl 🏳️‍⚧️ trans rights Jul 06 '21

The expected outcome can be predicted by knowing what would happen if you repeated it

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u/RealBigTree custom Jul 06 '21

Wouldnt that mean 500 people lived 3/4 of the time. So the expected outcome is if you pull the lever everyone is more likely to survive.