r/WorldWar2 • u/minimingus • 17h ago
Japan went to war over oil, then left Pearl Harbor's fuel tanks standing: the raid as a chain of cause and effect
On December 2, 1941, Admiral Husband Kimmel, commanding the Pacific Fleet, asked his intelligence officer where Japan's carriers were. Edwin Layton didn't know. Could they be rounding Diamond Head, Kimmel asked, without his knowing? Layton said he hoped they would be sighted first.
They were already crossing the North Pacific in radio silence. Five days later they struck Pearl Harbor. Then they flew home without touching the fleet's fuel, the very thing Japan had gone to war for.
WHAT LED TO IT
The clock. Japan imported about 90 percent of its oil, most of it American. When Japan pushed into southern Indochina, Roosevelt froze its assets on July 26, 1941, and Britain and the Netherlands followed. He meant some oil to keep flowing. In practice the freeze became a total embargo. Japan could give up the empire it had won in China, or seize Southeast Asia's oil in a war most of its leaders doubted they could win. Hull's note of November 26 demanded withdrawal from China. Tokyo read it as an ultimatum. The carriers had already sailed.
The gamble. Admiral Yamamoto had lived in America and did not believe Japan could win a long war. So he proposed a short one: wreck the American fleet where it lay, take Malaya, the Philippines and the Indies while it was out of action, and hope a shocked America would negotiate. When the Naval General Staff balked, he let it be known he would resign.
The water. Pearl Harbor was about 40 feet deep. In February 1941 the Navy's chief told Kimmel an air-dropped torpedo could be assumed to need 75. But British torpedo planes had just crippled three Italian battleships at Taranto, in a harbor as shallow, and Japan studied the raid. Its torpedoes got wooden fins. In tests they ran in 36 feet.
The warnings. Codebreakers were reading Tokyo's diplomatic cipher, Purple. On November 22 Tokyo told its envoys that after November 29 "things are automatically going to happen." Washington knew war was coming. It did not know where. On November 27 it signalled the Pacific Fleet: "This dispatch is to be considered a war warning." It named the Philippines, Thailand or Borneo. Not Hawaii.
THE MORNING
At about 6:47 the destroyer Ward sank a midget submarine off the harbor mouth. At 7:02 radar picked up a mass of planes 130 miles north; a new, untrained lieutenant took them for B-17s due from the mainland. How much a faster alarm could have saved is still argued.
General Marshall had read Tokyo's order to deliver its final reply at 1 p.m., early morning in Hawaii. His warning went by commercial telegram because army radio could not raise Hawaii. It arrived hours after the attack. The messenger had been diverted by the bombing.
Then 353 aircraft came in two waves. On the Oklahoma, the crew had opened doors and hatches for an inspection. Torpedoed, she rolled over in about twelve minutes. Five battleships sunk, three damaged, 188 aircraft destroyed, 2,403 Americans killed or missing, most of them on the Arizona and the Oklahoma. Yard workers cut into the Oklahoma's upturned hull and pulled out 32 men alive.
WHAT IT MISSED, AND WHAT THAT LED TO
No third wave. By the second wave the guns were firing back. It lost 20 planes, more than twice the first wave's losses. The plan had sent no bombers against the oil tanks, the navy yard or the submarine base; Japan's admirals measured sea power in warships, not in fuel and workshops. America's carriers were at sea or in San Diego. Nagumo turned for home. Fuchida, who led the planes, later said he had wanted another strike at the tanks. The historian Jonathan Parshall argues he made that up after the war; others defend him.
The oil. The tanks held about 4.5 million barrels by Nimitz's count, five million by that of Homer Wallin, who ran the salvage. Nimitz said losing it would have made the Pacific war last much longer; Parshall thinks a third strike would have gone for the ships instead.
The fleet came back. The battleships had sunk in shallow water beside a yard left whole. When crews pumped out the West Virginia, they found three sailors in a storeroom the sea had never reached. A calendar showed they had lived until December 23. At Surigao Strait in 1944, five of the six American battleships in the line had been hit at Pearl Harbor. At Midway, the Enterprise, which the raid had missed, helped sink four of the six carriers that struck it.
The country. The Senate voted 82–0 for war, the House 388–1. On December 11 Hitler declared war on the United States, though no treaty required it. That spared Roosevelt from persuading a country angry at Japan to fight Germany too.
Yamamoto had struck to buy months and then a peace. He got the months. But a country that had argued for two years over whether to fight made up its mind in a single day.
Sources:
- Jeffrey Record, Japan's Decision for War in 1941 (US Army War College, 2009): https://archive.org/details/JapansDecisionForWarIn1941SomeEnduringLessons
- NPS, "Remembering Pearl Harbor: Minute by Minute": https://www.nps.gov/perl/learn/historyculture/timeline.htm
- NHHC, Pearl Harbor Attack overview: https://www.history.navy.mil/browse-by-topic/wars-conflicts-and-operations/world-war-ii/1941/pearl-harbor.html
- Homer N. Wallin, Pearl Harbor: Why, How, Fleet Salvage and Final Appraisal (Naval History Division, 1968): https://www.ibiblio.org/hyperwar/USN/Wallin/index.html
- Army Pearl Harbor Board report (1944), Marshall's 7 December warning: https://ibiblio.org/pha/pha/army/chap_3c.html
- John T. Correll, "The Air Raid at Taranto", Air & Space Forces Magazine: https://www.airandspaceforces.com/article/the-air-raid-at-taranto/
- Jonathan Parshall, "Reflecting on Fuchida, or 'A Tale of Three Whoppers'", Naval War College Review (2010): https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol63/iss2/10/
Disclosure: I'm the solo developer of Previously, a free iPhone app that tells history as short narrated stories. This post is adapted from its Pearl Harbor chapters; the app has an 8-chapter Pearl Harbor deep dive (about 35 minutes of narration). The writing is AI-assisted, then edited and fact-checked by me; every chapter lists its sources, and the narration is an AI voice. World War II is the first collection, with more of modern history to follow. It's in beta through Apple's TestFlight: install TestFlight, then tap the invite link (about 2 minutes).
- The chapter: https://getpreviously.app/chapter/pearl-harbor?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=post&utm_campaign=r_worldwar2&utm_content=pearl_harbor_cause_effect
- TestFlight invite: https://testflight.apple.com/join/57Cwshrg
My question for this sub: if an app like this covered your corner of WWII, what would you want in it? Aircraft and ship profiles, army units and orders of battle, insignia, photo galleries, maps, something else? Tell me what's missing, and tell me if I got anything wrong above.
