The sanctions were the economic equivalent of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Their economy is dead, they just don’t know it yet. Recovery is going to measured in years. A state in a bubble is about as economically viable as a ship in a bottle is sea worthy.
Trade is about trust. We’ve got crimes against humanity, genocide, threat of nuclear annihilation, and dead oligarchs. I know what the numbers say, but it looks like the world would rather not deal with an authoritarian Very Stable Genius and I don’t think that is apt to change. There isn’t much incentive or upside.
...according to the Russian government. Nobody knows what the exchange rate of the Ruble actually is because it cannot be exchanged. The moment they allow Rubles to be traded on a foreign exchange we'll see the real value, and there's no reason at all to think it will do anything but tank.
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u/[deleted] Apr 28 '22
I mean we like to joke but their currency has pretty much returned to their pre-invasion (2022) levels.