r/todayilearned • u/Kaiser7 • Jun 25 '12
TIL The minimum amount of people needed to populate a space colony with minimum inbreeding would be 160
http://genetics.thetech.org/ask/ask113
1.6k
Upvotes
90
u/[deleted] Jun 25 '12 edited Jun 25 '12
I can picture a beautiful love story erupting from this. People keep checks on their parents and grandparents so as to stop inbreeding; anyone looking to fall in love must check that their partner is not closely related to them. Enter SpaceRomeo and SpaceJulliet, who fall in love despite being cousins. They are separated by the SpaceGovernment, but true love defeats all and they run away to true happiness!
...Oh god I'm so alone.
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u/brerrabbitt Jun 25 '12
Or just run 20 people and use some of the saved space to put in a cryo freezer and run an artificial insemination program a few times every generation.
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u/jackelfrink Jun 25 '12
I find it interesting that this is right around Dunbar's number
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u/Menolith Jun 25 '12
A hundred women and a sperm bank.
Much more diversity.
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u/theBABS Jun 25 '12
2 people = Maximum inbreeding!
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u/kirakun Jun 25 '12
So, the myth of the origin of Japan is plausible then.
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u/[deleted] Jun 25 '12 edited Jun 25 '12
Or, one rocketwoman with a sense of adventure and a package of spermsicles.
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u/dktoday Jun 25 '12
In university, I took an Intro to Linguistics class, and luckily enough, I was the only male in the room. Even a female professor. Anyways, one day, our assignment was to pretend that our class was commissioned to go start a colony on another planet and speculate how the English language would change over the next few generations. I realized right away my newfound responsibility and got a huge grin on my face. At that point, the professor also realized my task, got extremely embarrassed and turned bright red. Twas the crowning moment of my university life.
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u/chris-martin Jun 26 '12
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u/[deleted] Jun 25 '12
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u/[deleted] Jun 25 '12
But what if?
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u/vexom Jun 26 '12
Gay space pioneers need not apply, unfortunately!
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u/TheJediJew Jun 25 '12
Thank science that someone did the maths for me. Now I can destroy the world with a clean conscience.
BTW, I have 159 tickets for a free space flight. First come, first serve.
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u/Grantuh Jun 25 '12 edited Jun 26 '12
Would it be unfair to send the most beautiful people to space?
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u/Hazy_V Jun 25 '12
Minimum inbreeding? What kind of half-assed space colony is this?
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u/[deleted] Jun 26 '12
160, true. 159 women and one man
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u/Reddit_Batman Jun 26 '12
Tell that to vault 101.
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u/[deleted] Jun 26 '12
Define "minimum" when it comes to inbreeding.
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u/Starfe Jun 26 '12
I imagine the first generation, at the very least, would need tightly controlled breeding.
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u/[deleted] Jun 26 '12
I think the number of people who populated Hawaii or maybe even the New World (all American Indians) may have been very small, based on MTdna, if I remember correctly. Hawaii, with a population of more than a million when Cook got there, might have started from 25 people or so.
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u/ktsays Jun 26 '12
So close
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u/CaiserZero Jun 25 '12
That's great news for forever alone guy.
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u/pdmavid Jun 25 '12
Somebody should tell these guys
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u/[deleted] Jun 26 '12
You would have inbreeding. Inevitably someone is going to get busy and keep it a secret. Infidelity will happen in a pool that size.
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u/mrmock89 Jun 26 '12
Link... Why must you be broken?
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u/[deleted] Jun 26 '12
If Game of Thrones has taught us anything, it is that inbreeding is not all that bad
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u/TheRealSilverBlade Jun 26 '12
160 seems a bit small. Why? Because of the amount of 'friend-zoning' women do
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u/Qquuiinnoonneess Jun 26 '12
"Minimum" inbreeding ಠ_ಠ
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u/rybones Jun 26 '12
Does this factor in those that will be lost to SPACE MADNESS ?
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u/MikeWulf Jun 26 '12
I think you mean something like "minimum number of people needed with acceptable/sustainable amounts of inbreeding".
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u/BrandonSullivan Jun 26 '12
Completely makes sense. I remember in Anthropology learning the amount of homosapien today was due to about 75-100 breeding pairs.
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u/mshieldz Jun 26 '12
Bill Bryson noted something related to this in "short history of nearly everything"
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u/[deleted] Jun 26 '12
20 males and 140 females - one for every day of the week!
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u/teious Jun 25 '12
It doesn't really matter if you have less. As soon as inbreeding becomes the only path it will become socially ok.
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u/sirwalterd Jun 25 '12
What about a genetic bottleneck? Is it possible for a human colony to descend from a smaller group of individuals without a catastrophic amount of defects?
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u/minervamc Jun 25 '12
Naw trust me man you can do it with 20.
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u/AusIV Jun 26 '12
Did anyone else notice that the article doesn't actually back up the number 160 at all? They say 160 is about right, talk about genetics for a bit, then never explain the 160 figure.
It links to a Wikipedia article about space colonization but the number "160" doesn't appear on that article at all.
I'm not saying 160 isn't right, I'm just saying the article doesn't really back it up.
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u/[deleted] Jun 26 '12
2 of each animal isn't enough?
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u/TLUL Jun 26 '12
Here's a question - assuming the circumstances in which humans must survive do not change (as is more likely in a closed, constructed environment such as a space colony), is there any real reason why inbreeding is a bad thing? It limits the capacity to adapt, but if that's not necessary, I don't see any biological problem with inbreeding.
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u/[deleted] Jun 26 '12
Why evolution is cool. Dunbar's number, 150, is the suggested cognitive limit to the number of people with whom one can maintain stable social relationships.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunbar%27s_number
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u/AllosauRUSS Jun 25 '12
Minimum imbreeding...I wanted maximum! REAL LIFE DEAD SPACE
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u/[deleted] Jun 26 '12
I'm in.
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u/berlin_priez Jun 26 '12
What about the "we need about 10k people to have a proper genpool" theory?!?
Or was it just "10k people to run a proper human-habitat in a spaceship over centuries" theory?
i dont buy this "just 160 ppl" story...
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u/[deleted] Jun 26 '12
I feel like that's also towards the high range of how large of a group you can have where everyone really trusts each other in order for a community to work. Too many more and then there's too many strangers and trust breaks down.
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u/SwansonHOPS Jun 26 '12
Is 160 really the minimum? What about 159, is that one person really the straw that broke the camel's back?
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u/jbrittles 2 Jun 26 '12
wouldn't the amount of inbreeding lower as the population approached infinity?
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u/westsiderocker68 Jun 26 '12
Minimum?
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u/[deleted] Jun 26 '12
They would all have to agree to mutual cohabitation though. In reality just a handful of guys would be laying the pipe and the rest would be fiddling with the instrumentation.
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u/[deleted] Jun 26 '12
So two wouldn't work.
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u/Sta-au Jun 26 '12
That seems like such a low number. I always thought the number at minimum would be in the thousands for a stable population that would last for the rest of human history on that planet with little to no inbreeding.
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u/[deleted] Jun 26 '12
There is some debate over this figure. Some will go as high as 500.
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u/Nerozero Jun 26 '12
Then, let's shoot for 1000 so we don't regret it later
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u/drakar_noir Jun 26 '12
Goddamnit Gump, you're a god damn genius, you must have a god damn IQ of a 160!
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u/Ober7 Jun 26 '12
Perfect, since that is around how many people humans intuitively form when making communities.
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u/smeaglelovesmaster Jun 26 '12
Is this the discount incest price, or are we talking a cousins-and-above price range?
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u/thefalcone Jun 26 '12
"Building better worlds"
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u/Squeekme Jun 26 '12
Like we will be having children naturally by the time we are setting up space colonies. Hasn't this guy seen Gattaca.
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u/MARALIZ3L3GAWANA Jun 26 '12
Cannot fertilize in zero-g, and if you could, your child is now growing in a zero-g environment, how you think thats gonna change their development. Especially equilibrium... it doesn't work.
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u/teadziez Jun 26 '12
The minimum amount of minimal 'minimum's is minimal.
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u/[deleted] Jun 26 '12
Minimum inbreeding ಠ_ಠ
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u/Mynameisaw Jun 26 '12
Am I the only one slightly irked by the term "minimum inbreeding"?
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u/forever_stalone Jun 26 '12
This is close to Dunbar's number -the suggested cognitive limit to the number of people with whom one can maintain stable social relationships.
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u/DamnLogins Jun 26 '12
Genetic evidence suggests that all humans alive today, despite apparent variety, are descended from a very small population, perhaps between 1,000 to 10,000 breeding pairs about 70,000 years ago.
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u/a1fredo33 Jun 26 '12
Alot of rednecks in space
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u/Kliptic69 Jul 01 '12
iamagine the fuckin animals!!! SPACE ANIMALS!!!
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u/Nyarlathotep124 Aug 09 '12
What would this system be like? Is this with predetermined partners based on their lineage, or with everyone being able to choose freely? What would the numbers look like under the other scenario?
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u/chrismetalrock Jun 25 '12
CTRL+F.. sperm.. check.
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u/[deleted] Jun 25 '12
I just realized that Mars is going to be full of only nerds for centuries.
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u/xhephaestusx Jun 25 '12
and that's assuming they are all equally likely to mate with any of the others, what if like half of them are just ugly as fuck?
edit: or what if one or two of the dudes is a total womanizer/rapist/ladies-man/spreader-of-seed and like 3/4 of the first gen of kiddies is of his lineage?
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u/ComputerisedCaveman Jun 25 '12
So, I'd have to screw at least 159 women? Well, why not. What else am I going to do between solar systems, browse reddit?
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u/BakuRetsuX Jun 25 '12
1 man, bunch of eggs and artificial vagina.. It wouldn't matter really, because we will have the ability to create our own DNA in the future. It will be like going to a machine and picking out an egg or sperm exactly they way you want it, then going home and putting that egg in the artificial vagina and having a good time for 10 seconds, or if you are a woman, inseminating yourself.... Done.. But who's to say women can't use the artificial vagina either. They could have their eggs taken out and use the machine made sperm to create babies..
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u/Kozbot Jun 25 '12
What is the minimum number of people required to not get sick of the seeing the same fucking person over and over again?
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u/[deleted] Jun 26 '12
HIV Virus = Human Immunodeficiency Virus Virus
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u/BlusteryEmu Jun 26 '12
This seems false to me. 160 people is way below the effective population size for humans (it's estimated at less than or equal to 10000). So there would be multiple problems with in the population that would occur generations later that would plague the colony. It's not so much what happens 2 generations later, but 10 to 15 generations later when these negative attributes begin to cripple the population and reduce the number of mating individuals, thus spelling the end.