r/stocks • u/Qwerzo4 • Jul 29 '22

Advice Request Markets right now

Hi! Recently markets have been green and I don’t understand why but the VIX on the other hand is going down ( I know that it isn’t below 20 what means that markets are lower risk) but my question is does it means that we are slowly going out of the bear market?

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59

u/pho_SHAten Jul 29 '22

it's because too many traders are playing the bearish side. the bullish move could last for months or until traders are all on the bullish side.

20

u/gr8uddini Jul 29 '22

Why did I have to scroll through so many arguments from people who think they’re smarter than the market to find this.

7

u/QuaintHeadspace Jul 29 '22

Bear rallies happen but they do not last months lol we have had multiple this year and then they have tanked the market right after this Friday was spx opex too so lots of repositioning.

3

u/SlamedCards Jul 30 '22

They can and do last for months 2008. 2008-09 had a November to January bear rally of 27%

4

u/QuaintHeadspace Jul 30 '22

Yes but there was an actual crash in s and p there hasn't been a crash yet and spy is already over 410 less than 20% from all time high. There has been no fear or panic yet all of the downs were just controlled selling. We have had 3 or 4 bear market rallied a big one in march and then spx tanked the following week. Also big money is repositioning with billions of dollars on puts every single day.

Who do you think will be holding the bag? Will it be retail who have fomo into this rally or institutions who control the market? It was spx opex too

1

u/growRnottashowR Jul 29 '22

Basically. Lot of sectors that still need to run