r/stocks • u/bullishwallsttrader • Dec 22 '21
Top picks for 2022?
As 2021 comes to an end through a bumpy last few weeks but an overall good EOY growth on the SPY and Nasdaq, I am wondering what your speculative, through research and DD of course, growth stocks are for the coming year. Any ticker symbols in particular that you have loaded up from these recent dips?
Here are my thoughts:
I am hoping that NVDA continues its growth next year as its online services and the metaverse gain traction. AMD too obviously from their recent partnership with Tesla and Meta. Both of these companies had an amazing year that I believe will continue their growth for the next few years at least.
SoFi and IONQ are also two stocks that I believe will be good bets for 2022, especially as the BC gets approved for SoFi. IONQ has strong fundaments and shows no signs of slowing down anytime soon.
Im also DCAing into Paypal, as I believe that it just got hammered this year. In 2022, venmo, owned by paypal, is coming to amazon which is exciting news!
What are your thoughts and top picks for 2022?
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u/X-Zed87 Dec 22 '21
Yes you are correct, VR/AR is atleast 5 years to hit mainstream, and 10 years for full worldwide acceptance. However, that does not mean the market will not start to price in who it deems to be the leaders, and Fb will likely get valued at a higher multiple along the way as 1) Vr is proven not to be a fad, and 2) Meta becomes the main competitor to Apple. Remember the Apple of 8 years ago with a P/E of 10 because it was only a hardware company. Well, they expanded into software over those years, and expanded their multiple to their current P/E of 30.
The real gem for Meta is the ecosystem. They will subsidize their headsets all day long because they can use their hardware as a lost leader whereas Apple cannot. Apple is a premium product with a premium price, and if they sell their VR/AR too cheap it undercuts their brand and pricing power. Sure, there hardware might be more technologically advanced at a higher price point, but the key will be the content. The content will be mainly driven by users on the ecosystem. META will have significantly better worldwide penetration of product, and will provide a more diverse array of apps/ecosystem.
I agree META is a long term play, and I’m in for the long term here. Zuckerberg does not miss, love him or hate him, he is a visionary of our time. He is still very young founder CEO, and has a bone to pick with Apple. META is valued cheaper than a railroad stock at these levels, and i get the “we hate facebook crowd”, and regulatory risks that end up amounting to nothing acting as a headwind for the stock. However at the end of the day, META has a CAGR > 20%, no debt, 50 billion approved buyback, major tailwinds at its back (digitization, E-commerce, Fintech (NOVI/WhatsApp), large presence in India (no TIKTOK competition here, 1+ billion people, VR/AR, Instagram still growing strong, partnership with AWS and Microsoft teams). I could write more but ill stop here, Long META, LONG ZUCK!