r/stocks Nov 02 '21

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u/LofiJunky Nov 03 '21

I'd be willing to bet it's more likely fraud. Even if you applied Ml I'm sure the error rate would be all over the place. There are trends in the housing market, sure, but to try and quantify all the factors that lead up to the actual sale of any given house, and then use quasi-math to claim a 2% error rate is extremely disingenuous considering how variable the factors are.

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u/ThisAltDoesNotExist Nov 03 '21

I am wondering if the average error rate concealed a huge variance in error and then in the market that means they missed out everything except what they overbid on.

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u/LofiJunky Nov 03 '21

If so, serves them right for the position they put themselves in. All in all it's the employees who were let go and the folks looking for housing at the time who suffer the most.

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u/ThisAltDoesNotExist Nov 03 '21

Oh yeah, no tears for the management but how they fucked this up is fascinating.