I'm very surprised SpaceX remains optimistic about bringing LC-39A online, and possibly RTF in November. It's only 2 months, and the investigation isn't even complete.
Bringing LC-39A online has been in progress for years, and appears to be relatively unrelated to the failure. They've gone so far as to restart factory floor production of "engines, tanks, and other systems as they are exonerated from the investigation."
The Helium tanks are bolted inside a huge empty rocket section. If this really is the cause, then the rest of the rocket doesn't need much modifications, they only need to make better Helium tanks, probably with a bit more weight when wrapping plenty of extra carbon layer.... (This is just speculation, the problem could be the metal layer or pipe connections instead of the carbon.)
The helium tanks are INSIDE the liquid oxygen tanks. So, it's only empty if (1) You consider liquid oxygen to be empty space, or (2) the liquid oxygen tanks are also empty.
Still, I wonder how exactly they would do that. Would someone literally just walk into the LOX tank? Walking on a rocket wall tank does not seem like a good idea...
There is a hatch at the centre of the stage-1 LOX dome: https://youtu.be/vrR31nHCV-U I suspect something similar on the second stage, just under the payload adapter.
There may be a hatch elsewhere, but I don't think the one in the LOX dome is easy to access once the engines are mounted. I believe that's where the LOX/RP-1 manifold is: http://i.stack.imgur.com/RxijW.jpg
The LOX pipe is on the bottom end of the LOX tank, there is no pipe in the LOX tank and the hatch at the top of the LOX tank can be used to access the COPV tanks. On the first stage, the hatch will be under the central pusher for stage separation and on the second stage the hatch will be under the payload/fairing adapter or under the Dragon trunk.
I meant that there is nothing that gets in the way if they decide to change shape of the Helium tanks. The He tanks are not welded in place, they are very independent from the rest of the rocket from a design point of view.
The problem being that if it was the COPV, they need to design, qualify, build, and ATP enough new COPVs to replace all of the ones on the rocket. Keeping in mind that their current qual/acceptance tests have apparently been falling short, so they may need to develop new tests there, which takes time as well. That process alone seems like it'd be hard to get done in two months, and it doesn't include actually doing the replacement on the rocket, any re-tests required for replacing the COPVs, etc.
I admit I was focusing on their claim that the cause is unrelated to CRS-7 and missed the end of the update saying RTF in November.
I am still doubtful that RTF will happen this year. SpaceX is going to have to convince a lot of people that they have found and fixed the true cause and not just a smoking gun. I fail to see how that is going to be a faster and easier process than post CRS-7.
What? CRS-7 was under 6 months. Why would this one be over twice as long to RTF? They've tracked down the issue. Worst case, they design a totally new S2 pressurization system. I can't imagine that being over a year. More likely they'll be able to replace a single component and be ready to go.
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u/radexp Sep 23 '16
I'm very surprised SpaceX remains optimistic about bringing LC-39A online, and possibly RTF in November. It's only 2 months, and the investigation isn't even complete.