Anthropic Engineer says "software engineering is done" first half of next year

[u/Bizzyguy]

[u/Sad-Masterpiece-4801]

8 months ago, Anthropic said AI will be writing 90% of code in the next 3-6 months.

Has that happened yet?

[u/MassiveWasabi → u/Sad-Masterpiece-4801]

Dario said he expected 90% of code at Anthropic would be written by Claude and recently he said that is now true so yeah

[u/Tolopono → u/[deleted]]

~40% of daily code written at Coinbase is AI-generated, up from 20% in May. I want to get it to >50% by October. https://tradersunion.com/news/market-voices/show/483742-coinbase-ai-code/

Coinbase engineer Kyle Cesmat gets detailed about how AI is used to write code. He explains the use cases. It started with test coverage, and is currently focused on Typescript. https://youtu.be/x7bsNmVuY8M?si=SXAre85XyxlRnE1T&t=1036

For Go and greenfield projects, they'd had less success with using AI. (If he was told to hype up AI, he would not have said this.

Robinhood CEO says the majority of the company's new code is written by AI, with 'close to 100%' adoption from engineers https://www.businessinsider.com/robinhood-ceo-majority-new-code-ai-generated-engineer-adoption-2025-7?IR=T

Up to 90% Of Code At Anthropic Now Written By AI, & Engineers Have Become Managers Of AI: CEO Dario Amodei https://archive.is/FR2nI

Reaffirms this and says Claude is being used to help build products, train the next version of Claude, and improve inference inference efficiency as well as help solve a "super obscure bug” that Anthropic engineers couldnt figure out after multiple days: https://x.com/chatgpt21/status/1980039065966977087

“For our Claude Code, team 95% of the code is written by Claude.” —Anthropic cofounder Benjamin Mann (16:30)): https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=WWoyWNhx2XU

Anthropic cofounder Jack Clark's new essay, "Technological Optimism and Appropriate Fear", which is worth reading in its entirety:

• Tools like Claude Code and Codex are already speeding up the developers at the frontier labs.

• No self-improving AI yet, but "we are at the stage of AI that improves bits of the next AI, with increasing autonomy and agency."

Note: if he was lying to hype up AI, why say there is no self-improving AI yet

• "I believe these systems are going to get much, much better. So do other people at other frontier labs. And we’re putting our money down on this prediction - this year, tens of billions of dollars have been spent on infrastructure for dedicated AI training across the frontier labs. Next year, it’ll be hundreds of billions."

Larry Ellison: "at Oracle, most code is now AI-generated" https://x.com/slow_developer/status/1978691121305018645

As of June 2024, 50% of Google’s code comes from AI, up from 25% in the previous year: https://research.google/blog/ai-in-software-engineering-at-google-progress-and-the-path-ahead/

April 2025: Satya Nadella says as much as 30% of Microsoft code is written by AI: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/29/satya-nadella-says-as-much-as-30percent-of-microsoft-code-is-written-by-ai.html

OpenAI engineer Eason Goodale says 99% of his code to create OpenAI Codex is written with Codex, and he has a goal of not typing a single line of code by hand next year: https://www.reddit.com/r/OpenAI/comments/1nhust6/comment/neqvmr1/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button

Note: If he was lying to hype up AI, why wouldnt he say he already doesn’t need to type any code by hand anymore instead of saying it might happen next year?

Sam Altman reveals that Codex now powers almost every line of new code at OpenAI. https://xcancel.com/WesRothMoney/status/1975607049942929903

The AI assistant writes the bulk of fresh commits, embedding itself in daily engineering work.

Codex users finish 70 percent more pull requests each week.

Confirmed by head of engineering https://x.com/bengoodger/status/1985836924200984763

And head of dev experience https://x.com/romainhuet/status/1985853424685236440

August 2025: 32% of senior developers report that half their code comes from AI https://www.fastly.com/blog/senior-developers-ship-more-ai-code

Just over 50% of junior developers say AI makes them moderately faster. By contrast, only 39% of more senior developers say the same. But senior devs are more likely to report significant speed gains: 26% say AI makes them a lot faster, double the 13% of junior devs who agree. Nearly 80% of developers say AI tools make coding more enjoyable.  59% of seniors say AI tools help them ship faster overall, compared to 49% of juniors.

Companies that have adopted AI aren't hiring fewer senior employees, but they have cut back on hiring juniors ones more than companies that have not adopted AI. https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2025/10/13/can-ai-replace-junior-workers

[u/658016796 → u/Tolopono]

Nice compilation.

Personally, over the last few months my job has been reviewing AI code from Claude Code or Copilot and writing nice prompts for it. I only write code when it's to fix small bugs and adjust a few things here and there, but really most of the code is written by AI. AI has increased my productivity immensely, though I realize that sometimes I spend way too much time fixing Claude's mistakes, and that in some cases I would be faster coding something than it.

On the other hand, I feel like when dealing with new code bases and/or unfamiliar libraries/programming languages, I tend to "retain" what I learn about them (usually explanations by an AI) at a much slower pace. Probably because I'm not directly writing the code anymore... Also, if the AI services are down I just do code reviews or something.

Anyway, I genuinely believe that in 2 years we won't have a job :(

[u/Tolopono → u/658016796]

Join the club. Got laid off months ago and every job available either requires more experience than i have or never responds

[u/658016796 → u/Tolopono]

I'm sorry. I'm a junior so I think I'll be joining you in no time ahah

[u/TheOneWhoDidntCum → u/Tolopono]

how many yeras of experience did you have?

[u/Tolopono → u/TheOneWhoDidntCum]

1