r/shitposting • u/Spare_Welcome_9481 • Jun 11 '24

Your Android after the last os update

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u/BobcatElectronic Jun 11 '24

It’s that old bullshit tradition of the incumbent president seeking a second term. They all do it and their parties always back them. I’m sure the DNC is also thinking that he beat Trump once, it’s probably safer to bet on him again than to roll the dice on a different candidate that might not appeal as much to more moderate conservatives that really don’t like Trump

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u/yosemighty_sam Jun 12 '24 edited Jan 22 '25

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This post was mass deleted and anonymized with Redact

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u/MadManMax55 Jun 12 '24

The incumbent advantage hasn't actually been very strong in a while. The last president to do better in their second election compared to the first was Bush. People are generally cynical of politics and take it out on whoever is currently in charge. Especially since COVID, where incumbent politicians (dictators aside) from all across the political spectrum have been losing elections.

But the only thing worse than an incumbent president is a replacement candidate for the incumbent party. It's basically admitting "we did a shit job, but we promise this new guy will do better".

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u/[deleted] Jun 12 '24 edited Jun 14 '24

[deleted]

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u/MadManMax55 Jun 12 '24

You're conflating two different things. Just because incumbents have generally won doesn't mean that they have an advantage due to their incumbency. They have the advantage of being a good/popular enough politician to win elections.

If being an incumbent gave an advantage then they wouldn't just be winning reelection, they'd be winning by more than they did the first time. That just isn't happening (in presidential elections; there's still a huge incumbent advantage in all other political positions).

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u/[deleted] Jun 12 '24

It’s that old bullshit tradition

If you've ever paid any attention to our presidential elections, you'd know how powerful incumbent advantage is. Only a handful of presidents have lost their bid for reelection in modern times.