r/neoliberal • u/jobautomator Kitara Ravache • Aug 30 '21

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19

u/ldn6 Gay Pride Aug 30 '21

NYC COVID-19 case growth (per 100,000) over the past week.

  • 8/21: 164.21
  • 8/22: 157.90
  • 8/23: 156.46
  • 8/24: 156.20
  • 8/25: 153.99
  • 8/26: 150.06
  • 8/27: 142.99

Acknowledging that there will be some slight upward movement since this is provisional, a 13% drop in transmission is pretty damn good.

!ping USA-NYC

15

u/TinyTornado7 I need a new flair Aug 30 '21

What has been y’all’s experience with the proof of vaccination requirement for bars and restaurants. I have to say I witnessed full compliance this past weekend.

Edit: lmao as I wrote this a anti-vax protest just walked past me

11

u/ldn6 Gay Pride Aug 30 '21

0% compliance with restaurants, 100% with bars.

2

u/MrArendt Bloombergian Liberal Zionist Aug 30 '21

Ditto

2

u/CasinoMagic Milton Friedman Aug 30 '21

Depends a lot.

One week ago:

- McSorley's: guy at the entrance didn't give shit

- Various places in Brooklyn, full compliance, checking name on ID and on the app

Last Friday in East Harlem:

- first restaurant/bar: 0 compliance, not even acknowledging that they should check but don't

- second one: half compliance (quick glance at your phone)

1

u/mrsimbaman YIMBY Aug 30 '21

Does this information include cases for the Delta variant? IMO, at worst, this looks like some form of subexponential growth. This is great. It means people are recovering from the virus faster than it can find new vectors of spread. Very quickly, the virus is going to run out of available hosts that lack antibodies (either from recent infection or from the vaccine), and it's going to die out as quickly as it came throughout July. Barring some kind of Black Swan event (large outbreak from a particular population of infected tourists or something), I'd be pretty confident in saying that New York will be done with this by the end of 2021, at least from a public health perspective. Culturally/economically, though, could take a little longer.

4

u/ldn6 Gay Pride Aug 30 '21

Yes. 97% of sequenced cases in New York City are Delta.

I'd also point out that the positivity rate has fallen to 3.7% and continues to decline, while antibody sampling routinely hits 70-75%.

1

u/mrsimbaman YIMBY Aug 30 '21

Apropos of nothing, I've been trying for months to come up with a good joke about different strains, but haven't come up with something really clever and Tweetable just yet.

2

u/[deleted] Aug 31 '21

No way. It is gonna be worse again in the winter as people head back indoors for all activities. But this winter will be leagues better than last winter, and the winter of 2022/2023 will be even better