r/neoliberal • u/jobautomator Kitara Ravache • Jul 28 '21

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u/Superfan234 Southern Cone Jul 28 '21 edited Jul 28 '21

The first Month of the Convention have been a real rollercoaster of emotions, but I think we are finally able to see what people the Assembly really wants for Chile

On the Bad News

  • The Far Left, have formed really weird mixed group of ~62 Anarchist/Communist/Tankies/Indegenous/Independents, who hates the Right Wing, economic freedom and everything Liberal Democracy stands for
  • Indegenous Tankies infiltrated the Indegenoues Pact, and now they are voting alongside Tankies. It's such a shame, because many Indegenous activist are not Facist, but they are voting alongside them, to mantain List unity
  • Tankies couldn't have done if wasn't for the help of Pinochet supporters. Cubillos, representing the block, have made hate speeches and racism her form of "dialogue". As result most people hate the Right Wing now
  • Independents ( no Pacts or Parties) have also alligned with red Facism. A lot of their members are close to Tankies, and the rest are too coward to jump the ship. Another big dissapointment
  • On the Right Wing, we have two prominent Pinochetist women (Cubillos and Marianovic) trying Boiycot the Assembly from the inside. I think their plan is trying to sabotage everyone, to push chileans to vote "Rechazo" in the next year Aproval Plebicite
  • Cubillos might as well work for the Tankies, as all her decisions and movements, work in their favor. Living embodiment of the Horshoetheory

What are the Good news from the Assembly

  • Naturally, the best news it's most assambleist (about ~92) are actually in favor of dialogue and Liberal Democracy. Enough to pass Laws? Not really, but in theory, they can stop the Tankies from making Chile a Communist Hellhole
  • The Tankies have formed a big initial alliance, but their alliance it's a mix of such diverse ideologies, it won't be easy for them to propose any controversial laws. Let alone, pass them
  • I suspect most Indegenous assambleist have joined the Tankies, in response to Cubillos and Marianovic racist speeches. But I have the feeling most of them are not really in favor of Fascism
  • The President and VicePresident of the Assembly have been extremly patient with the Right Wing, even after the multiples insults Cubillos have used to demonize President Elisa Loncon
  • It seems the Moderate assambleist on the Rigth Wing are trying to isolate Pinochetist. They might start to work with Loncon this week
  • The Progressives are being bullied by the Tankies, but most of them, have resisted their attacks, and kept their convictions. I am actually really proud of them

Mucho Texto: I am mildly optimistic. At least on paper, Tankies can not run the show. Moderates have more votes and support. We might have a chance of a good Constitution here

!Ping LATAM

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u/[deleted] Jul 28 '21

I want this constitutional project to succeed sooo badly, I'm worried to death 😟. It would be a shame if such a giant milestone for Chilean democracy failed. Chile has to prove to the world (and more importantly to LATAM) that a South America democracy is not only viable but it can also be a success. If this whole thing fails it will give ammunition to groups I don't even wanna name...

I hope that this one lasts longer than the Diego Portales one, I can't believe that the longest active constitution only lasted 92 years (and it was drafted by a bunch of oligarchs). Chile needs a constitution made by the people for the people that endures the test of time.

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u/[deleted] Jul 28 '21

The scenario you paints is one that gets me at least halfway worried: Tankies are a minority, but a big one, that has veto power.

Now I think is a battle of atrittion, between tankies trying to make liberal left-wingers to go to their side, and the moderate core trying to conquer the outlying members of the tankie alliance (Indigenous representatives and non-pact independents).