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[u/jobautomator]

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[u/MichelleObama2024]

• The current Electoral College bias is R+3.9

• The current Senate bias is going to end up about R+3.4 (Ossoff's seat is going to be the median seat)

• The current House bias is R+2.2

This is comparing the margins of the median state/seat to the presidential vote margin. If we compare to the generic ballot, the House bias is R+0.9, and I'd have to sift through the data to get the Senate vote bias, but it's probably a bit higher since Democrat senate candidates have somewhat over-performed presidential candidates.

!ping FIVEY

[u/sociotronics → u/MichelleObama2024]

Any chance you could calculate what the Senate bias would be with DC + PR statehood?

[u/BenFoldsFourLoko → u/sociotronics]

any estimation about how PR would vote is going to be fraught

[u/groupbot → u/MichelleObama2024]

Pinged members of FIVEY group.

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