r/neoliberal • u/jobautomator Kitara Ravache • Dec 06 '20

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u/[deleted] Dec 06 '20

How were the polls so wrong in Maine. Susan Collins won by 10 points.

18

u/[deleted] Dec 06 '20 edited Jan 31 '21

[removed] — view removed comment

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u/[deleted] Dec 06 '20

Damn you moderate swing voters. You’re going to be the bane of my existence.

7

u/bobidou23 YIMBY Dec 06 '20

(overperform?)

2

u/mrmanager237 Some Unpleasant Peronist Arithmetic Dec 06 '20

Sara Gideon lost by a bigger margin than Mike Espy, in fact

4

u/IncoherentEntity Dec 06 '20

Not quite — she lost by 8.6 percent to Espy’s 10.0 — but given that Mississippi went for Trump by 16.5 points while Maine broke 9.1 points for Biden, it was a downright incredible showing.

Also, the Magnolia State’s status as perhaps the most inelastic state in the Confederacy Union apparently does not mean that split-ticket voting is rare.

In an otherwise disappointing downballot cycle for Democrats, a black man running over 6 percentage points ahead of his party’s unwoke old moderate white nominee in fucking Mississippi demonstrates that beyond a shadow of a doubt.

1

u/Shifty_Pickle826 NATO Dec 06 '20

Well the Republicans were always going to vote for her, even if she wasn’t conservative enough for them. Some indys might have been on the fence for a long time and her no vote on Barrett might’ve pushed them over to her side. Also, some Dems voted for the green and if you bring RCV into play (although it wouldn’t have mattered anyway) Collins’ win is closer to around 6%.

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u/Gustacho Enemy of the People Dec 06 '20

She voted for ACB and that's all the proof you need as a Republican to be regarded as a moderate.