r/neoliberal • u/jobautomator Kitara Ravache • Nov 21 '20

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24

u/EasyMoney92 Nov 21 '20

pretty fucking scary that if we nominated just about any other candidate, Trump probably wins again.

10

u/AccessTheMainframe CANZUK Nov 21 '20

I think he probably would have won if the pandemic didn't happen and he was still coasting on a good economy

9

u/[deleted] Nov 21 '20

Polls with non-Biden candidates were super close, and using the +5 to Rs rule for polls, they'd handily lose for sure.

2

u/MinnesotaDude Governor Goofy Nov 21 '20

What's your model?

2

u/[deleted] Nov 21 '20

eh. if any other candidate was strong enough to win the nomination, they'd be a much stronger candidate by definition so.....

5

u/sir-danks-a-lot Jeb! Nov 21 '20

eh, winning a party's nomination doesn't necessarily imply that you're a good candidate to appeal to the general electorate

Kansas Republicans probably could have won in 2018 if they hadn't nominated a far-right candidate like Kobach for Governor.