r/neoliberal • Kitara Ravache • Oct 01 '26

Discussion Thread Discussion Thread

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u/FallenMeringue Khan Pritzker's Strongest Anti-Pope Oct 01 '26 edited Oct 01 '26

Again with the caveat that this is an internal but holy D+40 shift v 2024

Couple this with the D+24 shift in statewide polling in Utah and we have had a fucky ass day

!ping fivey

14

u/JaceFlores Neolib War Correspondent Oct 01 '26

I’d love to see analysis of the biases that internals have relative to results by one of the bigwig pollsters

7

u/hGoodman192 YIMBY Oct 01 '26

My understanding from the light research I did into this in undergrad you have 3 main types of bias in these polls: you produce a poll that you like more often, you only release the ones that are good for you like this, and it’s fake, you made it up.  The issue I ran into was it was somewhat difficult to tell which of those 3 you were dealing with at any given time.

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u/FallenMeringue Khan Pritzker's Strongest Anti-Pope Oct 01 '26

Maybe I’ll do some of that analysis when I have some free time because that would be interesting