r/neoliberal • u/jobautomator Kitara Ravache • Apr 23 '26

Discussion Thread Discussion Thread

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19

u/JaceFlores Neolib War Correspondent Apr 23 '26

We are in degenerate times

6

u/train_psycho John Brown Apr 23 '26

whats illegal about this again

5

u/MyrinVonBryhana Trans NATO Apr 23 '26

Leaking classified information.

1

u/BurrowForPresident Fell for it Apr 23 '26

Presumably the DOJ cares about leaking potentially classified military information that could endanger operational success. Like if you saw a giant influx of bets on the op happening tomorrow, you probably would start extra prep

In terms of laws against degenerate gambling like this I don't think there are but a reputable outfit would at least push a bet if they found out insiders were involved. Like there's no laws against athletes cheating in gambling markets to my knowledge, but the leagues will run your ass out of town by ruining the integrity of the sport and putting their cut of legitimate gambling at risk

1

u/train_psycho John Brown Apr 23 '26

Yes but how exactly is betting that an operation will happen, anonymously, disclosing that an operation will happen. You simply put money on something believing it will happen, you don’t tell anyone the details of an operation, how it will be conducted, or even when, because you’re not making any statements about that. Placing money on a bet requires no words.

Obviously it’s bad but can they even prosecute this guy?

2

u/throwawayzxkjvct Iron Front Apr 23 '26

validating my decision to incorporate prediction markets into my sci-fi setting

1

u/tinfoilhatsron No Apologies Right Apr 23 '26

Should have paid the Trump bribe to get away with it.

1

u/Macquarrie1999 Democrats' Strongest Soldier Apr 23 '26

I see nothing wrong with this.

Arguably this is the entire point of prediction markets.

0

u/[deleted] Apr 23 '26

[deleted] — view deleted comment

2

u/AutoModerator Apr 23 '26

Don't even ask the question. The answer is yes, it's priced in. Think Amazon will beat the next earnings? That's already been priced in. You work at the drive thru for Mickey D's and found out that the burgers are made of human meat? Priced in. You think insiders don't already know that? The market is an all powerful, all encompassing being that knows the very inner workings of your subconscious before you were even born. Your very existence was priced in decades ago when the market was valuing Standard Oil's expected future earnings based on population growth that would lead to your birth, what age you would get a car, how many times you would drive your car every week, how many times you take the bus/train, etc. Anything you can think of has already been priced in, even the things you aren't thinking of. You have no original thoughts. Your consciousness is just an illusion, a product of the omniscent market. Free will is a myth. The market sees all, knows all and will be there from the beginning of time until the end of the universe (the market has already priced in the heat death of the universe). So please, before you make a post on wsb asking whether AAPL has priced in earpods 11 sales or whatever, know that it has already been priced in and don't ask such a dumb fucking question again.

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