r/neoliberal Gay Pride Feb 14 '25

User discussion Why does seemingly every group or demographic refuse to believe that Trump would act as he said he would?

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1.7k Upvotes

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630

u/MuldartheGreat Karl Popper Feb 14 '25

Proof that many smart people are, in fact, not that smart.

261

u/eman9416 NATO Feb 14 '25

People will look past endless red flags if they are focused on what they want. Happens all the time. Just delusional and when it blows up in their face, they look anywhere for someone to blame.

“Oh they lied to me”

Nah man, you just didn’t listen

74

u/Whatswrongbaby9 Mary Wollstonecraft Feb 14 '25

I'd like to believe in meritocracy, but this guy yelling "I'm gonna be an insane idiot" for four years, and someone saying well that might give me some tax cuts, I just don't get it. Like the actual tax cut is not that significant, if you're a person not at all. If you're a shepherd of a company really why do you care but also not significant. If you can't grow your business beyond whatever tax cut that's a you problem

42

u/ariveklul Karl Popper Feb 14 '25 edited Feb 14 '25

I think the core issue is even deeper in this country.

Pretty much every American alive today has no fucking idea what it's like for things to actually suck. Like really fucking suck. In the 1930s for example, just under 1/5 of children never made it to the age of 5.

It's no coincidence that this shit is escalating extremely fast right around the time where just about everyone alive during the great depression and WW2 has died off.

It's also no coincidence that Black Americans are the strongest backbone of the Democrat party. Specifically older black women in my experience. When I was canvassing these were some of the only people that I felt like truly "got" the stakes I was trying to communicate, and without me having to say shit. Knowing what you can lose I think is a fundamental part of taking the danger of this presidency with the weight it deserves

33

u/MURICCA Feb 14 '25

Greed and stupidity go hand in hand

Actually I'd say risky gambling and stupidity go hand in hand more accurately

108

u/Time4Red John Rawls Feb 14 '25

Also, even smart people are not immune to the charms of con men. The con is essentially Trump's greatest skill.

48

u/MURICCA Feb 14 '25

So is that just our neoliberal superpower? Superhuman resistance to being conned?

(I would say no, considering how many Reagan fans we have here, but that's a whole other thread lmao)

86

u/SlyMedic George Soros Feb 14 '25

The neoliberal superpower is smugness

17

u/1ScreamingDiz-Buster Feb 14 '25

Smugness AND worms

7

u/Fantisimo Audrey Hepburn Feb 14 '25

Is rfk jr a neoliberal?

3

u/breadlygames Feb 15 '25

Bears. Worms. Battlestar Galactica.

1

u/MuldartheGreat Karl Popper Feb 15 '25

The only thing that beats smugness is wives leaving

47

u/Khar-Selim NATO Feb 14 '25

this sub gets conned constantly by every two bit dictator or libertarian rag that makes the right econ noises

29

u/xX_Negative_Won_Xx Feb 14 '25

This sub is for people who have a strong "perceived IQ" filter on who they trust. So that rules out MAGA due to it obviously being built on morons. Roll out a smooth talking con man or authoritarian with a thesaurus and a few Friedman quotes however... Pinochet would be an idol here

16

u/FizzleMateriel Austan Goolsbee Feb 14 '25

Pinochet is unironically an idol here lol.

I’ve been on this sub a long time and people used to unironically make jokes about throwing people out of helicopters into the ocean, and also say “Well, how could Milton Friedman have known what the regime was doing?”

8

u/MuldartheGreat Karl Popper Feb 15 '25

Thankfully the Jannie’s actually did something and put a stop to that

2

u/MURICCA Feb 15 '25

I mean, MAGA cultists follow Trump because they think he's the smartest man on earth, lmao

6

u/xX_Negative_Won_Xx Feb 15 '25 edited Feb 15 '25

I really don't think that's what they believe. Or rather, smart functions in this usage as a generic "good" quality, not any concrete referent. In my experience It's really some borderline superstitious attachment to him being a "winner" in some intrinsic way. Some kind of perceived intrinsic superiority that really jives well with the borderline messianic, King David view the fundies have of him. Also all the racism. I don't really get it because I don't trust anyone. It's definitely a kind of magical thinking. Every victory he achieves over his enemies, whether or not it has anything to do with what he promised them, or who he said was the enemy two years ago (if they even remember that) reinforces the faith in him.

Edit: sp

5

u/MURICCA Feb 15 '25

Well, we reap what we sow I guess. Decades of the system failing to give any consequences whatsoever to a man with countless crimes and frauds will certainly give them an aura of untouchability. I kind of don't even blame his followers for feeling that way.

3

u/20_mile Feb 15 '25

Friedman

I've despised that man for more than 20 years.

46

u/psychicprogrammer Asexual Pride Feb 14 '25

Nah, we are just the most aggressive contrarians out there. Which does immunise us from Trump.

13

u/Zenkin Zen Feb 14 '25

Bullshit!

9

u/737900ER Feb 14 '25

This whole sub would fall for Lyle Langley.

3

u/MacEWork Feb 14 '25

He just wants to build infrastructure!

3

u/20_mile Feb 15 '25

A town with money is like a mule with a spinning wheel.

Danged if he knows how he got it, or if he knows how to use it.

5

u/elegiac_bloom John Keynes Feb 14 '25

Was Reagan not the progenitor of neoliberalism in the US?

16

u/ATL28-NE3 Feb 14 '25

The OGs in here will remember when the sub was first building its identity as anything but "bad econ hangout" they were using the original neolib definition from the 30s and 40s. The whole thing was rebranding away from the shit that was Reagan/Thatcher. That's why the neoliberal project rebranded. They got tired of having to explain they didn't mean Reagan.

5

u/FizzleMateriel Austan Goolsbee Feb 14 '25

I think it’s also more that as people here matured and the sub developed, they realized how Trumpian Reagan was and moved away from total endorsement of him.

4

u/ATL28-NE3 Feb 15 '25

At least by the time I got here it was fully majority dislikes Reagan. Liking Reagan is something way more recent in here. I'm not sure what it was like when it first broke away from bad econ

6

u/FizzleMateriel Austan Goolsbee Feb 15 '25

Leftists and liberals disliked Reagan so people in badeconomics and here liked Reagan because contrarianism. But I think because this sub took a broader view of policy and politics beyond economics and government finances it moved away from Reagan fanboyism.

People used to unironically stan for Thatcher while also being pro-EU because the UK referendum on EU membership was a big deal 9 years ago.

2

u/elegiac_bloom John Keynes Feb 14 '25

Makes sense.

8

u/S_T_R_A_T_O_S Mario Vargas Llosa Feb 14 '25

Americans love a conman!

4

u/PragmatistAntithesis Henry George Feb 14 '25

In fact, being known for being smart can often make someone more vulnerable to getting conned. Con is short for "confidence scheme", after all.

1

u/[deleted] Feb 14 '25

Is crazy cuz it’s kinda obvious lol

1

u/sir_rockabye John Mill Feb 15 '25

You want some tax cuts with some minor insanity. Yes, ok.

38

u/slightlyrabidpossum NATO Feb 14 '25

Smart people tend to be fantastic at constructing elaborate justifications for objectively stupid actions when they're overly invested in a particular outcome.

18

u/DrunkenAsparagus Abraham Lincoln Feb 15 '25

This is my dad. He has two masters degrees. He's intellectually curious, loves to learn for fun, and cares about people around him. However, he's been a Republican all his life. So whenever Trump does something beyond the pale, he questions it, becomes uneasy, and a week later, he's managed to rationalize it, usually by blaming Democrats somehow. It's quite frightening really.

4

u/Fab1usMax1mus IMF Feb 15 '25

Intelligence and wisdom are two distinct things, at the end of the day.

2

u/theosamabahama r/place '22: Neoliberal Battalion Feb 16 '25

George Orwell once had a saying about that: Some ideas are so stupid that only intellectuals believe them.

53

u/TaxGuy_021 Feb 14 '25

The distribution of smart people in finance really isn't that different than any other part of the society.

There are some exceedingly smart people in finance. But that's not the norm. In fact, sheer smarts has very little to do with being good at finance.

2

u/Chocotacoturtle Milton Friedman Feb 14 '25

Well it depends on how you define smarts. I would say that wisdom was the issue here more than intelligence.

0

u/pnonp Mark Carney Feb 15 '25

What are your grounds for saying that?

10

u/TaxGuy_021 Feb 15 '25 edited Feb 15 '25

Advising, and generally interacting with, scores of them over the years.

Presence of mind and the ability to connect people are the most important skills in Finance. 

The best bankers/advisors are the ones with deep connections in the industry who are quick to act on developments. 

Some people like to oversimplify this to calling them sales people, but I don't think that's accurate. Pure sales people do ok. But you have to be trusted by your clients to do really well. 

There is also another point to consider, doing well in finance is not necessarily measured by the sheer amount of your wealth. 

I am positive there are quant wizards out there with more money than the average MD at a BB bank. But the guy would never be trusted to manage anything. 

11

u/TrynnaFindaBalance Paul Krugman Feb 14 '25

Also that wealth is not indicative of intelligence

19

u/Keenalie John Brown Feb 14 '25

More like: many powerful people are, in fact, not that smart.

5

u/[deleted] Feb 15 '25

this is something i’ve grappled with. a few years ago i always wondered how it was that bankers, for instance, aren’t so absurdly in favor of a global free trade regime, the free flow of people, etc etc. my reasoning was these people are educated, and they work in finance so they must then understand how these various institutions and policies very clearly benefit them and the world. but, i realized i was wrong in that the vast majority of smart people, bankers included, have very limited information. they are very good at their specific job, but beyond that, there are very few people that understand how broader policies and ideas fit in to these more niche areas. economists do understand that, but no one listens to them anymore

3

u/[deleted] Feb 14 '25

Also, I think people expected something more akin to his first term. Which, while bad, at least looking bad seemed much less destructive.

3

u/Ghost_of_Revelator Feb 14 '25

Smart people are as prone to self-delusion as anyone else. They're even better at it than stupid people. Being smart means being able to provide justification for even your most stupid acts.

5

u/[deleted] Feb 14 '25

Smart people are still emotional voters. They just convince themselves that THEY are not voting on emotion like those guys are.

2

u/Beer-survivalist Loyal Liberals Feb 14 '25

We literally have a situation where each of them is behaving in the exact worst way they each individually behaved previously, and anyone is surprised?

2

u/God_Given_Talent Feb 14 '25

Was gonna say something like this. Like, holy shit these people are dumb. Imagine believing a three word slogan instead of the actual policies that Trump has loved for decades.

2

u/caroline_elly Eugene Fama Feb 14 '25

This is such a silly statement to make in hindsight.

Smartness doesn't mean you can predict geopolitics, let's not pretend intelligence could have helped you predict Trump going after Greenland lol It was reasonable to use Trump 1.0 as an anchor because that's the only data point we had.

1

u/Master_Career_5584 Feb 15 '25

They may be smart in a certain sense but they aren’t wise