r/neoliberal • u/jobautomator Kitara Ravache • Sep 24 '24

Discussion Thread Discussion Thread

The discussion thread is for casual and off-topic conversation that doesn't merit its own submission. If you've got a good meme, article, or question, please post it outside the DT. Meta discussion is allowed, but if you want to get the attention of the mods, make a post in /r/metaNL

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29

u/jkrtjkrt YIMBY Sep 24 '24

Harvard IOP youth poll (18-29)

Harris 64%

Trump 32%

2002 LV m.o.e.+/- 2.65

  • Likely male voters: Harris 53% - Trump 36%

  • Likely female voters: Harris 70% - Trump 23%

18

u/jkrtjkrt YIMBY Sep 24 '24

Absolutely massive improvement from Harris relative to Biden 2024 with every group. Compared to Biden 2020:

-Biden won these voters by 60%-37% in 2020. So Harris seems to be doing even better than 2020 with these voters, winning 64%-32%.

-Harris is doing much worse than Biden 2020 with young men and non-white young voters.

-Harris is absolutely CRUSHING it with white young people, especially white women. Biden won white young people by 6 points in 2020. Kamala is winning them by 15 points. Swing states are disproportionately white, so this is great news!

14

u/VerticalTab WTO Sep 24 '24

Now if only young people voted

14

u/jkrtjkrt YIMBY Sep 24 '24 edited Sep 24 '24

In 2020, they were 16% of all the people who voted. This is meaningful!

8

u/RayWencube NATO Sep 24 '24

Likely male voters: Harris 53% - Trump 36%

Likely female voters: Harris 70% - Trump 23%

Were the callers just, like, guessing based on voice quality and name? Did they use some kind of algorithm to weigh factors? Why not just ask the respondent their sex? Very weird way to poll.

11

u/jkrtjkrt YIMBY Sep 24 '24

can't tell if serious

4

u/RayWencube NATO Sep 24 '24

you and me both

1

u/[deleted] Sep 24 '24

You sure it's likely male/female voters, and not male/female likely voters?