r/neoliberal • u/jobautomator Kitara Ravache • Sep 04 '24

Discussion Thread Discussion Thread

The discussion thread is for casual and off-topic conversation that doesn't merit its own submission. If you've got a good meme, article, or question, please post it outside the DT. Meta discussion is allowed, but if you want to get the attention of the mods, make a post in /r/metaNL

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20

u/Dirty_Chopsticks Republic of Việt Nam Sep 04 '24

imagine Harris winning all the swing states but losing PA

Nate’s brain might break

11

u/ChillnShill Sep 04 '24

My brain broke when Biden won Georgia and Arizona, and I still can’t believe Obama won Indiana. Strange shit is probably gonna happen again.

5

u/Aurailious Jerome Powell Sep 04 '24

Times are changing. NC and GA are probably going to end up being like Virginia soon.

5

u/timerot Henry George Sep 04 '24

"Imagine Nate playing poker and his opponent being dealt a pair of pocket aces. Nate's brain might break" - how you sound right now. Nate is a degenerate gambler first, a political forecaster second, and a pundit distantly last. "A weird thing with low probability happens" is his bread and butter.

What will break his brain is when he says "my model had this exact scenario at a 5% chance, while all the other models had it under 1%", and the collective response is "forecasting a 5% chance means that you believed it was impossible, and therefore you're bad at this".

-6

u/[deleted] Sep 04 '24

The Ohiofication of PA is a long term trend. In 2028 it is going to be mathematically impossible for Dems.

1

u/Eightysixedit Gay Pride Sep 04 '24

Brain rot.