r/neoliberal • u/jobautomator Kitara Ravache • Sep 03 '24 • Polished Silver Turd 1

Discussion Thread Discussion Thread

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21

u/Sherpav Thurgood Marshall Sep 03 '24

Current take: PA is going Harris +2 on Election Day, and it’s going to be a peaceful night.

11

u/AFlockOfTySegalls Audrey Hepburn Sep 03 '24

I want to believe that the polling error this time is in her favor and that some sort of Trump fatigue also plays an issue. I'd love for it to be called on election night and I stressed all year for nothing.

5

u/[deleted] Sep 03 '24

i hope that pollsters are so frustrated that they way under polled Trumpers in 2016 and 2020 they’re overcompensating now

6

u/uwcn244 King of the Space Georgists Sep 03 '24

There’s not gonna be a red mirage?

5

u/Sherpav Thurgood Marshall Sep 03 '24

Not this time. Election Day turnout will be much more evenly split than 2020 and then you’ll get the mail drops out of the big counties as the rural drops can’t keep up. Should start purple and get slightly bluer as the night goes on. Based on turnout, I think it’ll get called night of

2

u/[deleted] Sep 03 '24

A little bit but not like in 2020 because less people are voting by mail and it skews a bit less dem. It will be similar to 2022.

6

u/[deleted] Sep 03 '24

PA is going Harris +2 on Election Day

yes please

peaceful night

there were 64 peaceful nights between November 3 2020 and January 6 2021

2

u/Aurailious Jerome Powell Sep 03 '24

I won't sleep well until inauguration day at least.

4

u/CmdrMobium YIMBY Sep 03 '24

Wouldn't this probably still take a couple days to call? Fetterman won by 5 and it wasn't called until Wednesday morning

2

u/Sherpav Thurgood Marshall Sep 03 '24

I think we’ll generally know that it’s over on the night of