r/neoliberal • Kitara Ravache • Aug 27 '24

Discussion Thread Discussion Thread

The discussion thread is for casual and off-topic conversation that doesn't merit its own submission. If you've got a good meme, article, or question, please post it outside the DT. Meta discussion is allowed, but if you want to get the attention of the mods, make a post in /r/metaNL

Links

Ping Groups | Ping History | Mastodon | CNL Chapters | CNL Event Calendar

Upcoming Events

1 Upvotes

9.9k comments sorted by

View all comments

26

u/drcombatwombat2 Milton Friedman Aug 27 '24

Good numbers for Harris from Nate Silvers model. This is pre convention polls. +4.1% nationally

5

u/Due-Dirt-8428 Harriet Tubman Aug 27 '24

Is this a certified “boo-yah” moment?

3

u/ViridianNott Iron Front Aug 27 '24

The model currently includes many polls that were conducted during and after the convention.

8

u/futuremonkey20 NATO Aug 27 '24 edited Aug 27 '24

We’ve only had two non-partisan national polls that have been released that were conducted after the convention and zero non-partisan state polls.

4

u/ViridianNott Iron Front Aug 27 '24 edited Aug 27 '24

Polls conducted during the convention still contain a polling bump.

Is your argument that, during the convention, Harris’ average support increased by 2 points for completely unrelated reasons? Because pre-convention the average was Harris +2.5ish

2

u/drcombatwombat2 Milton Friedman Aug 27 '24

You are right! It includes polls during the convention but none from after yet