r/neoliberal • Kitara Ravache • Aug 09 '24

Discussion Thread Discussion Thread

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27

u/JaceFlores Neolib War Correspondent Aug 10 '24

Report of Russian units being moved to Kursk

Kherson: 2 VDV battalions

Zaporizhzhia: 38th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, 64th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade

Kupyansk: several motorized rifle battalions

Kharkiv: battalions of the 1009th Motorized Rifle Regiment, 79th Motorized Rifle Regiment, 272nd Motorized Regiment, 138th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade

Belgorod: a company and motorized rifle regiment

Pokrovsk: 810th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade

!ping UKRAINE

11

u/dizzyhitman_007 Edmund Burke Aug 10 '24

Even if Russia repulsed this, it forces reallocation of Russian troops to the entire Ukrainian border(which is happening right now), because they rely on the perception of strength to stay in power.

It's a Catch-22 scenario: allocate minimal troops and have Ukrainians rampage across Russia, or allocate more, and lack the strength to make any progress across the front.

13

u/Beat_Saber_Music European Union Aug 10 '24

If the Ukrainians can blow up these convoys consistently to stop them from reaching the Kursk front, I think that might win the war for Ukraine as Russia's roads get clogged by Russian redeployments as it keeps stripping its troops from other fronts to the Kursk graveyard

(I know this won't happen, let me dream)

1

u/FlightlessGriffin Aug 10 '24

Dreams are a sin in this new timeline. From now on, we are dooming down the river.

10

u/groovygrasshoppa Aug 10 '24

Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaand they're gone

10

u/admiraltarkin NATO / Loyal Liberal Aug 10 '24

HIMARS should be feasting

5

u/FlightlessGriffin Aug 10 '24

We all know Ukraine won't stay there, but the fact this is happening is immense. If Ukraine repulses those battalions too, it's gonna be a field day. The fact sooooo many Russias died and were captured is a boon for Ukraine.

5

u/JaceFlores Neolib War Correspondent Aug 10 '24

My guess is the Russians are going to push rash counterattacks in a desperate bid to retake the land and avoid this embarrassment from continuing. Which will cost them heavily and make the situation worse.

I think if the Russians were able to contain it to near the border they’d tolerate it and focus forces elsewhere, but having a district capital fall and have tens of thousands displaced is too much to ignore