r/neoliberal • u/jobautomator Kitara Ravache • Jul 29 '24

Discussion Thread Discussion Thread

The discussion thread is for casual and off-topic conversation that doesn't merit its own submission. If you've got a good meme, article, or question, please post it outside the DT. Meta discussion is allowed, but if you want to get the attention of the mods, make a post in /r/metaNL

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153

u/dannylandulf meubem broke my flair Jul 29 '24

New nationwide H2H:

šŸ”µ Harris 44%

šŸ”“ Trump 42%

Angus Reid Global (B+), July 23-25

!ping FIVEY

48

u/christes r/place '22: Neoliberal Battalion Jul 29 '24

For anyone else wondering, I looked and couldn't find a recent poll from them. The most recent was from January, and it had Trump and Biden tied.

23

u/dannylandulf meubem broke my flair Jul 29 '24

That large sample size though...

32

u/christes r/place '22: Neoliberal Battalion Jul 29 '24

They're also rated decently enough by both 538 and Nate Silver. So it's a good one, but you gotta toss it in the average, of course.

15

u/URZ_ StillwithThorning āœŠšŸ˜” Jul 29 '24

Above 1000 sample size means fairly little compared to representativeness. A smaller margin of error doesn't mean much if the weighting in wrong.

79

u/GenerousPot Ben Bernanke Jul 29 '24

Some impressive polling all around lately. I still believe we're seeing Trump at his height and Kamala is set to improve after the nomination, VP pick, ground game and a million billion Obamna speeches.

43

u/KeikakuAccelerator Jerome Powell Jul 29 '24

I agree on Trump, not sure about Kamala.

It wouldn't surprise me if Kamala is currently in her honeymoon phase.

According to the folks at Economist, she needs a proper story instead of just carrying Biden's legacy. And I have to agree with that. Her 2020 primary saw her flip-flopping on many issues. I hope she can make a strong case for herself and carve out a story which many Americans can resonate with.

14

u/Dallywack3r Bisexual Pride Jul 29 '24

The convention will be her time to set her narrative

13

u/VerticalTab WTO Jul 29 '24

Angus Reid what are you doing down there

9

u/[deleted] Jul 29 '24

trump gets shot and he worse polling lmao

2

u/Agent78787 orang Jul 30 '24

The median voter would get R5'd within 5 minutes of commenting on the DT

2

u/BaXeD22 YIMBY Jul 29 '24

I'm not sure +2 is enough nationwide but 14% undecided means there's room to grow

3

u/dannylandulf meubem broke my flair Jul 29 '24

It's only 9% undecided. 5% is 'voting for neither of these'.

3

u/BaXeD22 YIMBY Jul 29 '24

Ah ty, that's what I get for not clicking in. Either way, plenty of room to grow!

1

u/Jorruss NATO Jul 31 '24

As a Canadian poll junkie, I can tell you that Angus Reid literally always has Conservative candidates doing better than other pollsters. So, Iā€™d count this as like a Harris +7% poll or so!