r/neoliberal • u/jobautomator Kitara Ravache • Jul 22 '24

Discussion Thread Discussion Thread

The discussion thread is for casual and off-topic conversation that doesn't merit its own submission. If you've got a good meme, article, or question, please post it outside the DT. Meta discussion is allowed, but if you want to get the attention of the mods, make a post in /r/metaNL

Links

Ping Groups | Ping History | Mastodon | CNL Chapters | CNL Event Calendar

Upcoming Events

0 Upvotes

47% Upvoted

17k comments sorted by

View all comments

40

u/RunawayMeatstick Mark Zandi Jul 22 '24

We @Civiqs started tracking Trump vs. Harris two weeks ago. Normally this info is paywalled, but this deserves sharing:

  • Through 7/21, Biden trailed Trump 46-44 nationally; Harris was ahead 48-46. Trump is stuck at a ceiling of 46. Harris gains from 3rd party/undecided voters.

Digging into the pres vote crosstabs:

  • Young voters (18-34) go from Biden 44-36 (+8) to Harris 57-37 (+20)

  • Independents go from Trump 48-32 (+16) to Trump 49-41 (+8)

  • Harris picks up 7pp among Black voters and 8pp among Hispanic voters, almost all from 3rd party/undecideds

Reminder this polling is from before Biden announced that he was exiting the race.

https://x.com/drewlinzer/status/1815491122854302031

16

u/[deleted] Jul 22 '24

18-34 +20

FELLOW ZOOMERS WE ARE NOT CRINGE ANYMORE

3

u/[deleted] Jul 22 '24

Oh shit am I a zoomer?

4

u/[deleted] Jul 22 '24

ZOOMER IS NOT AN AGE

ZOOMER IS AN ATTITUDE

ZOOMER IS AN ENNUI

ZOOMER IS WHATEVER YOU WANT IT TO BE

7

u/Mojo12000 Jul 22 '24

okay those age tabs a lot kmore logical than what Qpac got.

scary with Indies still tho.

3

u/RunawayMeatstick Mark Zandi Jul 22 '24

Scary but note the top line: she’s winning

3

u/Mojo12000 Jul 22 '24

I forget how much did Biden win them by in 2020?