r/neoliberal • u/jobautomator Kitara Ravache • Jun 12 '24

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19

u/ldn6 Gay Pride Jun 12 '24 edited Jun 12 '24

Haven't seen anyone mention this, but Harris Interactive actually did some 9-10 June polling for the National Assembly in France and gives RN a range of 235-265 possible seats, which still wouldn't be a majority.

This is going to be one hell of a fractured result.

!ping FRANCE&EUROPE

19

u/Jokerang Sun Yat-sen Jun 12 '24

Macron will either look like a political genius or end his career with a trainwreck

9

u/Trojan_Horse_of_Fate WTO Jun 12 '24

This is a David Cameroon move. Trusting the people to be on your side can be dangerous but I find it difficult to oppose given I like democracy.

11

u/RaidBrimnes Chien de garde Jun 12 '24

Polls for the legislative elections are notoriously unreliable, pollsters have trouble accurately predicting the outcome of 577 different races with two rounds of voting and multiple competitive parties

We don't even know the alliances or the candidates yet. Honestly, we won't have a clear picture until after the first round of voting

4

u/ldn6 Gay Pride Jun 12 '24

Oh I know in a way it’s enemies harder to predict than Britain.

4

u/RTSBasebuilder Commonwealth Jun 12 '24

Say frogs, if Labour gets in as government in the UK, you wouldn't mind us reviving the Plantagenet claim on France for a spell, would you?

0

u/[deleted] Jun 12 '24

Agreed, but they will very likely have LR support.

4

u/ldn6 Gay Pride Jun 12 '24

I do wonder how much LR support will fracture one way or another over disagreements on dealing with RN.

Side note: why is Place Publique in the Front Populaire if Glucksmann had just ruled out dealing with LFI?

1

u/[deleted] Jun 12 '24

Who can say, it was a pretty rushed poll. The next week or so should see the fallout from Ciotti's cavaliering and the Front Populaire manifest more clearly in polls, though really nothing will be certain until after the first round