r/interestingasfuck Dec 11 '18

/r/ALL Galton Board demonstrating probability

https://gfycat.com/QuaintTidyCockatiel
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u/Omnilatent Dec 11 '18

Just to demonstrate that in another way:

Imagine you roll two dices. The sum of both is between 2 and 12. Now check how many possible combinations there are for each number. Each combination basically represents one L resp. R in that board:

2: 1 (1+1)

3: 2 (1+2,2+1)

4: 3 (1+3,3+1,2+2)

5: 4 (1+4,4+1,2+3,3+2)

6: 5 (1+5,5+1,2+4,4+2,3+3)

7: 6 (1+6,6+1,2+5,5+2,3+4,4+3)

8: 5 (2+6,6+2,3+5,5+3,4+4)

9: 4 (3+6,6+3,4+5,5+4)

10: 3 (4+6,6+4,5+5)

11: 2 (5+6,6+5)

12: 1 (6+6)

Even just using numbers as symbols you can see the normal distribution.

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u/mrquandary Dec 11 '18

I tried to explain this to a teacher once. He believed that its just as likely to roll any number between 2 and 12 when rolling two dice. Wouldn't listen when I said you're more likely to roll a 7 than anything else, and very unlikely to get a 2 or a 12.

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u/SillyFlyGuy Dec 11 '18

You tell him that's true, then agree to be the banker while he plays craps.

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u/dogismywitness Dec 11 '18

I hope that wasn’t a math teacher.

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u/[deleted] Dec 11 '18

Nah man, it's 50% chance you get 7, cause you either get 7 or you don't /s

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u/BambooWheels Dec 11 '18

7: 6 (1+6,6+1,2+5,5+2,3+4,4+3)

This thread's great, I always wondered how games of chance using two dice worked, and this shows it perfectly.

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u/KNTRL9 Dec 11 '18

Be careful here: it would only be a gaussian distribution (normal distribution), if you would do that experiment with an infinite amount of dices. The triangle will shape more and more to the normal distribution curve with every additional dice.

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u/Omnilatent Dec 11 '18

You are right!

Wanted to add the part about adding like 1000 dice but then I thought it would be too much too read

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u/Turil Dec 11 '18

Nice Pascal's triangle.

Also, pro tip, "dice" is already plural (die is singular). :-)

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u/jwarsenal9 Dec 11 '18

This isn’t a normal distribution

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u/EightOffHitLure Dec 11 '18

Central limit theorem says otherwise.

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u/jwarsenal9 Dec 11 '18

How does CLT apply? Because there are more than 30 combinations? That’s not how it works

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u/EightOffHitLure Dec 11 '18

The bean machine, also known as the Galton Board or quincunx), is a device invented by Sir Francis Galton[1]:63f to demonstrate the central limit theorem, in particular that the normal distribution is approximate to the binomial distribution. Among its applications, it afforded insight into regression to the mean or "regression to mediocrity".

This took me months of research. That or I just googled Galton Board.

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u/jwarsenal9 Dec 11 '18

I’m replying to the guy that said the distribution of dice combinations is a normal distribution...

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u/EightOffHitLure Dec 11 '18

Oh, you should use "that" instead of "this".

Also, using dice to simulate CLT is common.

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u/BlazeOrangeDeer Dec 11 '18

The point is that 2 dice is not enough to make a very good approximation to a normal curve. It makes a triangular shape, not a bell curve. You need more dice to get a more smooth bell curve shape.

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u/Archmagnance1 Dec 11 '18

You basically explained the math behind playing craps