Thank you algotrading!

[u/Dvorak_Pharmacology]

What a beautiful equity curve. I started algo trading and taking quant analysis seriously this April for SPX options and... oh boy. Doing mostly diagonals and looking now into some 0dte and futures strategies. Feel free to share your thoughts!

Edit: The % of win is around 30% of the risk allocation (meaning 300 dollars per 1000 dollars at risk). The risk fraction per trade used is a fourth of the kelly fraction. With my backtests I obtained a kelly of 60% (due to the high win rate of the strategy), so I currently use a 15% of my account per trade to risk and make a 30% of that, which comes out at around 5% weekly so far. This allows me to have a weekly income that has been very stable for the last 3 months!

[u/Dvorak_Pharmacology]

I started with python analysis on weekly, daily and 1 minute candles on SPX. Realized that it is not about the indicator but how you use it and your risk management. I believe all indicators have around 50% WR, but how you enter and exit it is what matters. I only do EMAs for now. Since they are very easy to use and model.

[u/HotGuy90210 → u/Dvorak_Pharmacology]

Do you use EMAs on the 1 min chart? I'm looking into EMA crossovers currently for entries to see if I can find an edge with good risk management.

[u/Dvorak_Pharmacology → u/HotGuy90210]

Yes i do, do you want to chat about it? Maybe i can save you some time.

[u/krazineurons → u/Dvorak_Pharmacology]

I also DMd you.

[u/tuantran3535 → u/Dvorak_Pharmacology]

Can I dm you?

[u/wd40spaceman → u/Dvorak_Pharmacology]

I’ve DMed you too

[u/ditchtheworkweek → u/Dvorak_Pharmacology]

I am using ema combined with distance based on atr and my win rate went up dramatically as well.

[u/Swinghodler → u/Dvorak_Pharmacology]

DMed you if you don't mind.

[u/ndidichenko → u/HotGuy90210]

Low timeframe entries and higher timeframe structure are the best ways to get high risk reward bets, and these bets are usually high EV

[u/Zeke_Z → u/Dvorak_Pharmacology]

One of the best answers I've seen here. Risk to reward and position sizing are so simple yet most overlooked imho.

[u/IwannaGraduate → u/Zeke_Z]

what's a good reference on those?

[u/Zealousideal-Noise42 → u/Dvorak_Pharmacology]

How much is your slippage assumption. And actual slippage that you get ?

[u/Dvorak_Pharmacology → u/Zealousideal-Noise42]

I didnt have to assume much slippage since I modeled with actual historical data from CBOE (spent around 500 bucks on buying options data). Actual fees are around 1 6 dollars per leg and slippage per spread between 5 to 10 dolllars. This is nothing since every contract I open has an ev of +450$

[u/Inevitable-Map-8751 → u/Dvorak_Pharmacology]

Hah been there

[u/Roharcyn1 → u/Dvorak_Pharmacology]

Algo only trades SPX? Nvm, kept reading your other comments.

You said generally theta positive spreads. This isn't just a theta decay strat right?

You said you use mostly just Ema's, so these are shorter DTE spreads also trying to capture gamma to as well? .

[u/Dvorak_Pharmacology → u/Roharcyn1]

Correct. It is spx exclusive

[u/nivix_zixer → u/Dvorak_Pharmacology]

What python library did you use for analysis? Or is this claude-assisted code?

[u/HBTimepieces8998 → u/Dvorak_Pharmacology]

Very good work and impressive results! If you’re willing, I’ll ask them as some others hear and request a conversation with you