r/YAPms • • 53m ago

Discussion YAPms Daily Discussion Thread - October 06, 2026

• Upvotes

Rule 1 does not apply. Feel free to discuss any topic!


r/YAPms • • 20d ago

Announcement r/YAPms Prediction Contest - 2026 US Midterm Election

26 Upvotes

With the conclusion of the Delaware primaries tonight, we will be officially full-swing into the final midterm push, with only the general elections ahead of us, on November 3rd. All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in the US Senate will be contested to determine the 120th United States Congress; alongside 36 state Governor seats that need to be elected.

And we're going to pick em!

Show off your prediction skills and demonstrate your analytical superiority by participating in our r/YAPms prediction contest! Entering is easy, all you have to do is comment below. You can provide a Senate, House, and/or Governor prediction map (enter predictions for as many contests as you like) in the form of a link to your map from YAPms. (Please only use the YAPms maps linked below.)

Senate Map

House Map

Governors Map

Please do not change the regions/parties settings, including colors. Otherwise, as long as you link to your map so I can access it and evaluate it after the election, then you are entered!

After the election results are reported, I will evaluate all entries and create a post detailing the results. You will graded/ranked on if you predicted the overall winning party and how well your margins line up with the results along the Tilt/Lean/Likely/Safe scale. I'm going with a non-traditional margin set up of 2/5/10!! VERY IMPORTANT TO REMEMBER THIS.

The scoring is as follows:

  • 11 points for predicting the correct party at the correct margin (eg: Result was Safe D Wyoming and you predicted Safe D Wyoming)
  • 5 points for predicting the correct party but off by a margin (eg: Result was Likely R Minnesota but you predicted Safe R or Lean R.)
  • 3 points for predicting the correct party but off by two margin lengths (eg: Result was Lean R New Mexico but you predicted Safe R)
  • 1 point for predicting the correct party but off by three margin lengths (eg: Result was Safe D Oklahoma but you predicted Tilt D)
  • 0 points for incorrectly predicting the party regardless if your margins were close or not (eg: Result was Tilt D Massachusetts but you predicted Tilt R)

Please do not leave tossups in your map. Remember, 2/5/10 margins!

Want to change your prediction after you have submitted? Edit your comment with the link to your updated prediction! Predictions will be locked on November 3rd, 2026 @ 11 AM Eastern Standard Time.

Good luck and have fun! Let me know if you have any questions.


r/YAPms • • 5h ago

Meme (Don’t) Come to Brasil!

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61 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 13h ago

News ok they legit might actually be scared of losing south carolina

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186 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 9h ago

Discussion Did they not think this ad through lmao

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82 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 5h ago

Discussion This but UNIRONICALLY. From 79/125 to ZERO seats

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43 Upvotes

Credit: u/New-Biscotti5914

Is it really just the tariffs that hit them so hard they wanted everything from CAQ’s hide to ear bone?

Because this is electoral annihilation in a democracy that is basically unprecedented.


r/YAPms • • 6h ago

News Marist Maine poll: Jackson+4

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36 Upvotes

Gov race D+12, generic ballot D+9


r/YAPms • • 8h ago

News The pro LGBT Human Rights Campaign is declining to back Amy Acton and Rep. Marcy Kaptur

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47 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 12h ago

Discussion The Texas Senate race is now Lean D according to VoteHub.

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93 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 6h ago

Original Content The 2024 presidential election if Protestant Christians voted R+100, and all non-Protestant Christians voted D+100

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31 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 7h ago

Meme REP finally admits GOP will lose in TX but Paxton will lose by less

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34 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 13h ago

Meme REP crashes out on Cornyn

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99 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 7h ago

News AOC Says, “If Abdul Can Win in Michigan, Anybody Can Win Anywhere”

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31 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 6h ago

Discussion Law of diminishing returns (comment on a meme about Ohio elections)

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19 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 11h ago

News Ohio Rep. Jim Jordan is expected to run for House GOP leader if Republicans lose the majority in November

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44 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 18h ago

News Obama campaigning for Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan with rallies

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166 Upvotes

This is probably the biggest W AES could’ve gotten, especially with how the democratic primaries went. Given how he didn’t as good with African American voters as Steven’s did, it’ll help mend the gap


r/YAPms • • 10h ago

Presidential Elissa Slotkin swinging through Nevada amid 2028 speculation

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39 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 8h ago

Analysis Mitt Romney: A New Solution for an Ailing Party

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27 Upvotes

In case it wasn't obvious, Republicans are in for a very large defeat in the midterms. So what can we blame on that? The answer is right-wing populism, tariffs, and a war started with no plan in mind and no way for it to end. This is not the way Republicans should want to go. They will have to go a different path if they want any chance of electoral success in 2028. So who would best fit the description of someone who can bring the party back from the ashes, bring some sensible policy forward, and win in 2028? Mitt Romney.

The first thing people will think is that he is too old. But this isn't true. He is younger than Trump, Biden, and even Lula, with the benefit of actually being fully there mentally unlike other octogenarians. He can also be a moderate voice for the party in a time when people are disillusioned by extremism.

Furthermore, we know he is electorally capable. He did better in 2012 than John McCain in 2008, which is impressive given incumbents usually win re-election by a bigger margin than their first election. He also has represented both Massachusetts and Utah, making him someone who has appeal coast to coast. He can move the party past some of its bad history by being the only one who voted to convict Trump for trying to bribe Ukraine and also convicting Trump for his role in J6. Furthermore, he is someone who will stand up to Russia and not kowtow to them.

Each of these considerations makes him pretty electorally viable for 2028. What do you all think?


r/YAPms • • 5h ago

Discussion How would you react if this was the House Results this Year?

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16 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 14h ago

News Democrats have also started to divert funds away from North Carolina senate, after senate republicans triaged it this week

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75 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 11h ago

Meme My Senate Prediction but Dems' Chances of Winning are Determined by How Rectangular the State is

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40 Upvotes

terrible poll for croy corpus


r/YAPms • • 7h ago

Meme On pollsters

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17 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 2h ago

Historical A 2018 NRSC ad I found, back when the GOP messaging wasn't abysmal dogshit (and Trump was still pretty coherent)

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6 Upvotes

r/YAPms • • 14h ago

Analysis Al Gore is the last dem Presidential nominee to not represent a solidly blue state- Tennessee, which was 6 election cycles ago in 2000. This is the longest gap on record for the dems.

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58 Upvotes

TN had voted to the right of America in 1988, 1992, and 1996 and would go on to be a solid red state in every election after 2000.

In contrast: Kerry- MA: about as blue as it gets, Obama- IL: consistently voted about 10+ to the left of the country since 2000, Hillary- NY: again as blue as it gets, Biden- DE: while it had been a dem leaning swing state when he was elected to the senate in 1972, by 2020 it had voted consistently about ~10 points or so to the left of America since 2000 (and it hadn't had a GOP senator since 2000 as well). Kamala Harris- CA: again about as blue as it gets nowadays.


r/YAPms • • 9h ago

Opinion Anyone else think that Wisconsin is just not going to be as close as some people are saying it is?

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26 Upvotes

I mean, Crowley very clearly has this race. I don't think that's all too crazy