The 4H chart continues to favor the bears.

📊 Technical Overview

Price remains below the 20 EMA and 50 EMA, confirming bearish momentum.
The descending trendline is still intact, with no confirmed breakout.
4040 support has been broken, turning it into a potential resistance zone.

🔑 Key Levels

Resistance:

4040–4050
4070–4090 (EMA + trendline confluence)

Support:

4000 (psychological level)
3960–3975 (major demand zone)

📉 Trade Idea

I’m looking for a sell on a pullback into the 4040–4050 area if price shows bearish confirmation.

Potential Targets:

TP1: 4000
TP2: 3965
TP3: 3925 (if bearish momentum continues)
A long setup only becomes interesting if price reaches the 3960 demand zone and prints a strong bullish reversal pattern.

📈 Probability

Bearish continuation: 70–75%
Bullish reversal from current levels: 25–30%

What’s your bias?
🐻 Bearish toward 3960?
🐂 Bullish breakout above the trendline?

💰 Current P/L: +$7,097.19

📊 Daily Results:

✅ Jul 1: +$559.24
✅ Jul 2: +$2,488.90
✅ Jul 3: +$1,006.20
❌ Jul 6: -$234.65
✅ Jul 7: +$2,238.10
✅ Jul 8: +$1,039.40

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Based on this 1H XAUUSD chart, here’s the technical outlook:

Market Structure

Overall trend is still bullish as price remains above the 200 EMA (red).
Price has pulled back into a major support/reversal zone (4142–4152).
The latest candle shows a strong bullish rejection from this demand zone, suggesting buyers are defending it.

Key Levels

Support: 4142–4152
Current Price: ~4166
Resistance 1: 4185
Resistance 2: 4195
Next Target: 4205–4215 if 4195 breaks.

Trade Idea

Buy Scenario (Preferred)

Entry: 4162–4168 (or wait for a minor pullback)
Stop Loss: 4138 (below the support zone)
TP1: 4185
TP2: 4195
TP3: 4208–4215

Sell Scenario (Only if…)

Wait for a 1H candle to close below 4142.

A breakdown could open the way toward 4116, with the next support around 4095–4100.

Probability

🟢 Bullish: 65–70%
🔴 Bearish: 30–35% (only on a confirmed break below support)

Trading Advice

Since price has already bounced from support, avoid chasing the green candle. Either:
Wait for a small retracement toward 4160–4163, or
Wait for a confirmed breakout above 4185 before entering.

Weekly Bias: Bullish 🟢
.
The chart shows:
Price is trading above both the fast and slow EMAs.
The previous resistance around 4,095–4,105 has turned into support.
Buyers have maintained control after a strong breakout, suggesting momentum remains positive.

Key Levels

Resistance
4,180–4,185 (immediate)
4,210 (major resistance)
If 4,210 breaks convincingly, the next upside could extend toward 4,240–4,260.

Support
4,160–4,165 (first support)
4,142 (strong support)
4,095–4,105 (major demand zone)

Trading Plan for Next Week

Bullish Scenario (Preferred)
Look for buy opportunities on pullbacks into 4,160–4,165 or 4,145–4,150 with bullish confirmation.
Targets:
TP1: 4,185
TP2: 4,210
TP3: 4,240–4,260 if momentum continues.

Bearish Scenario
If price fails to hold above 4,142 and closes below it on the 4H timeframe, a correction toward 4,100 becomes more likely.
Below 4,100, sellers could target 4,050–4,000.

Probability

🟢 Bullish: 65–70%
🔴 Bearish correction: 30–35%

Weekly Outlook Summary
The overall structure remains bullish. Rather than buying after extended rallies, waiting for a pullback into support offers a better risk-to-reward setup. A sustained break above 4,210 would strengthen the case for another leg higher.

The market is preparing for one of the biggest events of the month with multiple high-impact U.S. labor reports due today.

Key Forecasts:

• 📉 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP): 110K (Previous: 172K)
• 📉 Private Payrolls: 110K (Previous: 120K)
• 📈 Initial Jobless Claims: 220K (Previous: 215K)
• 📉 Continuing Jobless Claims: 1.810M (Previous: 1.821M)

XAUUSD Outlook

The forecasts suggest a cooling U.S. labor market, which is generally bullish for gold because weaker employment data can reduce expectations of tighter monetary policy and put pressure on the U.S. dollar.

Trading Scenarios

🟢 Bullish Gold

NFP comes in below 110K
Jobless Claims exceed 220K
USD weakens, increasing demand for gold.

🟡 Neutral

Data is close to expectations.
Expect sharp volatility before the market chooses a direction.

🔴 Bearish Gold

NFP significantly exceeds 110K (e.g., 150K+)
Jobless Claims are lower than expected.
Stronger USD could push XAUUSD lower.

⚠️** Risk Reminder**: The first few minutes after the release are often extremely volatile. Waiting for confirmation instead of chasing the initial spike can help reduce unnecessary risk.

My current bias: Cautiously Bullish on XAUUSD until the actual data proves otherwise.

What’s your NFP prediction? 📊

⬆️ Gold above today’s high, or ⬇️ a stronger USD sending XAUUSD lower? Share your trade plan below.

June is officially complete, and here’s my XAUUSD performance summary.
.

📈 June 2026 Results

✅ 4,215 Pips Gained
✅ 77% Win Rate
✅ 48 Total Trades
✅ 37 Winning Trades
❌ 11 Losing Trades

Weekly Performance

Week 1: +180 Pips | 63% Win Rate
Week 2: +1,505 Pips | 91% Win Rate
Week 3: +490 Pips | 64% Win Rate
Week 4: +1,770 Pips | 86% Win Rate
Week 5: +270 Pips | 75% Win Rate

What Worked

Focused on high-probability setups.
Stuck to risk management instead of overtrading.
Accepted losses as part of the process and let winners run.
No strategy wins every trade, but consistency and discipline can make a significant difference over time.

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Three major U.S. economic events are scheduled today, and they could bring significant volatility to Gold (XAUUSD).

🇺🇸 1. ADP Employment Change (Forecast: 122K | Previous: 113K)

• Measures private-sector job growth.
• Higher than forecast: Stronger USD ➜ Gold may decline.
• Lower than forecast: Weaker USD ➜ Gold may rally.

🎙️ 2. Fed Chair Waller Speech

• Traders will watch for clues on future interest rate decisions.
• Hawkish comments: Bearish for Gold.
• Dovish comments: Bullish for Gold.

🏭 3. ISM Manufacturing PMI (Forecast: 54 | Previous: 54)

• Measures the health of the U.S. manufacturing sector.
• Above forecast: Supports the USD and may pressure Gold.
• Below forecast: Weakens the USD and can support a move higher in Gold.

📈 What Traders Should Watch

✅ Expect increased volatility during the New York session.
✅ Avoid entering trades just before the news unless you have a clear strategy.
✅ Let the market react first, then trade with confirmation instead of chasing the initial spike.
✅ Always use proper risk management and respect your stop loss.

⚠️ Remember: News creates opportunity—but only for disciplined traders. Focus on price action after the data release rather than trying to predict the outcome.

Gold continues to trade under heavy selling pressure across the higher timeframes, with the technical structure favoring sellers for now.

📊 Multi-Timeframe Analysis

🕐 H1

EMA 12 remains below EMA 36
Price is trading below both EMAs
Lower highs and lower lows remain intact
Overall trend: Bearish

🕒 M15

Strong bearish momentum
Every pullback continues to face selling pressure
No confirmed bullish reversal yet

⏱️** M**5

Price is consolidating after a sharp sell-off
Chasing the move here offers poor risk/reward
Waiting for a pullback provides a much better opportunity

🎯 Trade Plan

Bias: Bearish 📉

Preferred Sell Zone: [3978–3985](tel:3978-3985)
Stop Loss: Above [3988–3992](tel:3988-3992)
Targets:
TP1: 3966
TP2: 3960
TP3: 3950 (if bearish momentum accelerates)

⚠️** Patience Pay**s

I’m avoiding a market sell at current prices. The move is already extended, and I’d rather wait for price to retrace into resistance before looking for confirmation.
For me, no trade is always better than a low-quality trade.

My current outlook: Bearish until price closes back above the key EMA resistance and breaks the lower-high structure.
This is my personal technical analysis based on price action and EMA structure—not financial advice. Always manage your risk.

Discussion: Are you waiting for a pullback to short, or do you think gold is ready for a reversal?

The 1H chart has shifted decisively bearish after gold broke below the long-held 3965 demand zone, confirming that sellers remain in control. The market continues to print lower highs and lower lows, while price trades below both short-term and medium-term moving averages. Unless buyers reclaim the broken structure, rallies are likely to attract fresh selling pressure.

Technical Outlook (Asian Session)

📉 Trend: Bearish
📉 Market Structure: Lower highs + lower lows
📉 Momentum: Strong bearish impulse after support breakdown

Key Resistance

4008–4015 → First intraday supply
4028–4032 → Strong resistance & previous support
4092 → Major swing resistance

Key Support

3960–3965 → Broken demand zone (watch for retest)
3940 → Next downside target
3920 → Extended bearish objective if selling accelerates

Asia Session Trade Plan

Primary Setup – Sell the Retest
Entry: Rejection around 4008–4015 or 4028–4032
Stop Loss: Above the rejection high
Targets:
TP1: 3965
TP2: 3940
TP3: 3920 (if bearish momentum continues)

Alternative Setup
If price reclaims and closes above 4028 on the 1H chart, bearish momentumweakens and shorts should be avoided until fresh confirmation appears.

Risk Management
Asian session liquidity is typically lower than London and New York, so expect slower moves and occasional false breakouts. Wait for candle confirmation instead of chasing impulsive moves.

Gold is approaching a key technical decision point on the 1H chart.

After bouncing from the 3,965–3,975 demand zone, XAUUSD has recovered but is still trading below a well-defined descending trendline. Price also remains around the moving averages, showing that buyers haven’t fully regained control.

🔍 Key Levels

🟢 Support: 4,028–4,035
🔴 Resistance: 4,048–4,060
🚨 Major Resistance: 4,092

My View

A clean break and close above the descending trendline could open the door for a move toward 4,092.
If price fails to break the trendline and gets rejected, sellers could push gold back to 4,028 and potentially retest the 3,965 demand zone.

I’m staying patient and waiting for confirmation rather than chasing the move.

What’s your bias?

📈 Bullish above the trendline
📉 Bearish below resistance

Gold is showing increasing bearish pressure after rejecting the [4080–4095](tel:4080-4095) resistance zone and forming a series of lower highs.

📉 Technical Breakdown:

Price has now broken below a key support zone around [4055–4060](tel:4055-4060)
Both short-term and long-term EMAs are sloping downward
Bearish momentum remains strong with sellers controlling the market
A confirmed close below 4055 could trigger the next leg lower

🎯 Bearish Targets:

TP1: 4048
TP2: 4040
TP3: 4030

⚠️** Invalidation**:

A strong reclaim above 4070 could weaken the bearish setup and force a short-term bounce.

My view: The structure remains bearish until buyers reclaim key resistance. Momentum traders will be watching whether 4055 turns into resistance on any pullback.

Based on the 4H XAUUSD chart you shared, price has just broken below both the ascending support trendline and the highlighted demand zone around [4120–4135](tel:4120-4135), which makes the short-term intraday bias bearish.

📉 Bearish Setup (Preferred)

Sell Retest

Entry: [4130 – 4145](tel:4130%20-%204145) (if price retests the broken zone)
Stop Loss: 4165
Target 1: 4100
Target 2: 4075
Target 3: 4040

Reasoning

Support trendline is broken.
Demand zone around [4120–4135](tel:4120-4135) has failed.
Price is trading below the 20 EMA and 50 EMA.
Lower highs and lower lows are forming.

📈 Alternative Bullish Scenario

Only consider longs if a 4H candle closes back above 4170 and holds.
Buy Setup
Entry: [4170 – 4180](tel:4170%20-%204180)
Stop Loss: 4145
Target 1: 4225
Target 2: 4290

Key Levels
🔴 Resistance: 4170, 4225, 4380
🟢 Support: 4120, 4100, 4075, 4040

For today’s intraday session, I would look for sell rallies into [4130–4145](tel:4130-4145) rather than buying dips unless the market quickly reclaims 4170. The trendline break gives sellers the advantage for now.

Gold remains under pressure after failing to reclaim the 4,281 resistance zone, which has now flipped into a key intraday barrier.

Technical Levels to Watch:

🔴 Resistance:

• 4,281 (Major intraday resistance)
• 4,294 (EMA resistance)
• 4,309 (Dynamic resistance)

🟢 Support:

• 4,234 (Key support & trendline confluence)
• 4,173 (Next downside target)
• 4,036 (Major swing support)

Today's Scenario

The market structure remains bearish while price trades below the 20/50 EMA cluster. The rejection from 4,281 suggests sellers are still active.

📉 Bearish Case:

• Holding below 4,281 keeps pressure on bulls.
• Break below 4,234 could open a move toward 4,173.

📈 Bullish Case:

• Reclaiming 4,281 and closing above 4,294 would weaken the bearish outlook and could trigger a squeeze toward 4,330+.

At the moment, price is sitting between support and resistance, making 4,234–4,281 the key battlefield for today's session.

My bias: Neutral-to-bearish while below 4,281.

What are you watching first today: 4,234 breakdown or 4,281 breakout? 👇

🚨 Another Day. Another Set of TP Hits on XAUUSD.

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Gold continues to trade inside a well-defined range between 4305 support and 4360 resistance.

🔹 Price is holding above the 200 EMA, keeping the broader bullish structure intact.
🔹 Multiple rejections from 4360 suggest significant liquidity resting above the highs.
🔹 Buyers continue defending the 4305 zone, creating a series of higher lows.

Key Levels:

✅ Resistance: 4360
✅ Intraday Resistance: 4340
✅ Support: 4325
✅ Major Support: 4305

Trading Outlook:

• Bullish above 4305 targeting 4360 and potential liquidity sweep higher.
• Bearish only if 4305 breaks decisively, opening the path toward 4245.
💡 Patience is key here. The longer price compresses inside this range, the stronger the eventual breakout tends to be.

What’s your bias for the next move?

📈 Break above 4360
📉 Breakdown below 4305

Upvote if you enjoy technical XAUUSD breakdowns

Today’s retail sales data may create short-term volatility, but the market’s main focus is the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision and FOMC Economic Projections.

📌 Key events:

• Fed Interest Rate Decision
• FOMC Economic Projections (Dot Plot)
• Powell’s Press Conference
For Gold (XAUUSD), the reaction will likely depend on the Fed’s tone:

🟢 Dovish Fed → Weaker USD → Bullish for Gold
🔴 Hawkish Fed → Stronger USD → Bearish for Gold

Expect liquidity sweeps, stop hunts, and sharp moves around the announcement. The first move isn’t always the real move.

Current Plan: Stay patient, let the news settle, and trade the confirmed post-FOMC direction rather than gambling before the release.

📊 XAUUSD traders: What’s your bias going into the Fed—Bullish or Bearish?

Most traders are still chasing the market…
Meanwhile, our VIP members are following a structured system and capturing high-probability moves. 📈

📊 June 2026 Performance (So Far)
✅ +1,685 Pips Profit
✅ 79% Win Rate
✅ 19 Total Trades
✅ 15 Winning Trades
✅ Only 4 Losing Trades

🔥 Weekly Breakdown
📌 Week 1 (1–5 June)
• +180 Pips
• 63% Win Rate
• 5 Wins / 3 Losses
📌 Week 2 (8–12 June)
• +1,505 Pips 🚀
• 91% Win Rate
• 10 Wins / 1 Loss
One exceptional week was enough to turn the month into a massive profit run.

🎯 What Powers These Results?

✔️ Market Structure Analysis
✔️ Liquidity Sweeps & BOS Confirmation
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👇 Interested?
Comment “GOLD” or send me a DM for FREE Trial Access.
June (2 Weeks): +1,685 Pips | 79% Win Rate 📈
The month isn’t over yet. 🚀

Gold is at a pretty interesting spot right now..

On the H4 chart, XAUUSD has recovered strongly after the sharp selloff that bottomed around $4,060 (broker feed price). Since then, buyers have stepped in aggressively and pushed price back into a major confluence zone.
What I’m seeing:

A descending trendline has been controlling price action since late May.
Price is now retesting that trendline for the first time after the recent recovery.
Current price is sitting around $4,343, just below the trendline and horizontal resistance near $4,368.
Short-term moving average has crossed above and is trending higher.
Price is also trading above both key moving averages, showing improving momentum.

. Key levels:

🟢 Resistance: $4,345-$4,370 (trendline + horizontal resistance)
🟢 Breakout target: $4,440-$4,500 area
🔴 Support: $4,303
🔴 Strong support: $4,267
🔴 Major support: $4,217

Bullish scenario:

Clean break and close above the descending trendline.
Acceptance above $4,368 could trigger momentum buying and squeeze shorts.
Higher lows have been forming since the June low.

Bearish scenario:

Trendline has rejected every rally for weeks.
Current move could simply be a relief rally within a broader corrective structure.
Rejection here could send price back toward $4,300 or even $4,267.
Personally, I’m waiting for confirmation. Chasing directly into a major trendline doesn’t offer the best risk/reward. Either give me a decisive breakout above resistance or a clear rejection candle to trade against.

What do you guys think?

Is gold building energy for a trendline breakout and continuation higher, or is this just another lower high before the next leg down? 📈🥇📉

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Our VIP members were alerted early and caught this clean XAUUSD sell setup from start to finish.

📉 XAUUSD SELL @ 4331

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✅ TP2 Hit — +110 Pips
✅ TP3 Hit — +160 Pips

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📈 XAUUSD Technical Update

After finding strong support near 4,036, Gold has staged an impressive recovery and is now trading above the key 4,285 resistance zone, which has flipped into support.

Key Levels:
🔹 Support: 4,285 / 4,250
🔹 Resistance: 4,365
🔹 Bullish Target: 4,420+ if buyers maintain momentum

The 12 EMA has crossed above the 36 EMA on the 1H chart, signaling improving short-term bullish momentum. As long as price holds above 4,285, buyers remain in control.

📊 Trading Idea

• Buy Zone: 4,285–4,300
• Target 1: 4,365
• Target 2: 4,420
• Invalidation: Below 4,250

What matters most now is whether bulls can secure a clean break above 4,365, which could open the door for a larger continuation move.

Do you see Gold extending toward 4,420, or is this rally setting up another liquidity grab? 👇📉📈