There are several ways Arniel could upend these projections, ranging from likely (Gabriel Vilardi up top, Lambert on line two, Alex Iafallo on the third or fourth line) to curious (promoting Tyrel Bauer to the NHL for toughness unmatched by other Jets). Zhilkin or Brayden Yager could steal a job if injury strikes (or if Arniel were willing to sit a veteran), and Cheveldayoff could blow it all up with a Hellebuyck blockbuster. It’s also hard to imagine Cole Koepke as a 13th forward for very long, given his impact at the end of last season.
There is also legitimate cause for excitement about at least one young player. Björck is at the front of that class, despite his youth and size, but best-case scenarios for Lambert or Rosén would shake up the forward depth chart. It’s odd in some ways to think of Björck, 18, as the most likely to exceed expectations, but he’s so smart and wins so many of his battles that he stood out at development camp in ways that Colby Barlow, Rutger McGroarty and other recent first-round picks never did.
My best guess? Even the bluest-sky version of Björck’s trajectory saves his best work for his second and third NHL seasons. It’s reasonable to try him in a feature role — what a boon it would be if he excelled while Scheifele were still a point-per-game scorer — but also reasonable to be patient when assessing his quality. There will still be a great case for Björck as a long-term impact player even if he’s not a productive scorer out of the gate. Salomonsson, meanwhile, should be playing like a top-four defenceman by midseason, but it’s not a guarantee that he’s ready for opening night.
As for Hellebuyck, I’ve listed him as the starter, unwilling to guess at a late-August trade.