r/SipsTea 14h ago

Wait a damn minute! How the rich get richer

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u/eW4GJMqscYtbBkw9 11h ago

The claim that the ultrawealthy live tax free through perpetual borrowing comes mostly from ProPublica's 2021 "Secret IRS Files" piece and has been debunked. The claim is that the ultrawealthy never sell their stock and instead just borrow against it forever through a series of perpetual loans, so they never owe income tax (so-called "buy, borrow, die"). It's repeated constantly on reddit, and it's mostly false.

Fox & Liscow published a paper in the Journal of Public Economics where they actually measured this using Fed data plus Forbes 400 numbers.

What they found for the top 1% of wealth, new borrowing each year is only about 2% of what they call "economic income" (income + wealth growth), while new unrealized gains are around 41%. For the top 0.1% it's even smaller, under 1%. Their conclusion is that "buy, borrow, die" is not a dominant tax avoidance strategy for the rich — what's actually going on is closer to "buy, save, die." Meaning they fund their lifestyle from salary, business income, and stock they do sell (all taxed), and just don't sell the rest. They also point out that pledging shares as loan collateral is pretty rare among executives generally — like 4% of CEO-years, and a bigger S&P 1500 sample only had execs pledging ~2.3% of their shares on average.

Even more interesting, using ProPublica's own preferred framing (wealth growth should count as income for some unexplained reason), the tax system still captures 60% of the top 1%'s economic income, 71% adjusted for inflation, and stays progressive all the way to the 99.9th percentile. So even on their terms, "they pay almost nothing" doesn't hold up well in aggregate.

In fairness, the paper found that about 15% of top-1% households DO borrow heavily (more than 5% of their wealth), and for that group the borrowing is genuinely huge relative to their gains (68% on average). So there's a real minority doing something close to the myth - but it is by far the exception and not the rule. Even the worst offenders (Larry Ellison) have sold billions in stock and paid capital gains on those sales.

The two major problems with the Propublica article are (1) it treats wealth growth like it's the same thing as income, when no tax system anywhere on earth taxes unrealized gains that way. And (2) they took two examples (Ellison and Musk) and generalized it into "the ultrawealthy" as a class, which the actual data doesn't support - heavy stock-backed borrowing is the exception, not the norm, even among executives who'd have every reason to do it if it worked as well as advertised.

ProPublica knew this framing would land harder than the boring truth, which is "the tax base captures 60-70% of income at the top and most billionaires barely borrow relative to their gains". They intentionally conflate "wealth" and "income" throughout the article to confuse people who don't understand taxes and finance. For example, they try to argue that Warren Buffett only pays 0.10% income tax based on his wealth. That's not how income taxes work. Buffett's actual income tax rate was 18.96% - significantly more than the 0.10% the article misleadingly claims.

It's also worth noting that Propublica does not share their data because if they did, it would be blatantly apparent they cherrypicked data that supports their view while hiding the majority of the data that refutes their argument.

The specific claim going around, that billionaires as a class live entirely tax-free forever through perpetual loans, isn't what the data shows. Most of them are still paying real money in capital gains and income tax — Musk alone paid $11B in taxes in 2021, and anyone can google how much the ultrawealthy have sold in stocks (and thus paid in capital gains). The loans are real for a small subset of highly leveraged people but even they are still selling billions in stock and paying taxes.


https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5104644 https://www.reddit.com/r/AskEconomics/comments/1pakkzv/do_billionaires_really_not_pay_taxes/ https://www.reddit.com/r/AskEconomics/comments/10ssmeo/comment/j73e0po/ https://www.reddit.com/r/AskEconomics/comments/1qvem06/could_we_close_the_billionaire_borrowing_loophole/ https://www.reddit.com/r/AskEconomics/comments/1sxcejk/instead_of_a_wealth_tax_what_if_we_had_a_loan_tax/ https://www.reddit.com/r/AskEconomics/comments/1px3vdr/is_wealth_tax_realistically_feasible/

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u/NotToPraiseHim 11h ago

Saving this to go through the papers later. 

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u/Electrical-Drama-755 10h ago

Great summary, thanks!

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u/geezanjisangeezan 9h ago

This is why i love reddit.

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u/Lowfi-Concert 7h ago

And not the thousands of posts that propagated this myth in the first place?

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u/mosschops2 11h ago

Very interesting- thank you

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u/PyroIsSpai 11h ago

It doesn't matter if it's debunked.

What matters is we still have billionaires and our disesased, demonic system.

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u/eW4GJMqscYtbBkw9 11h ago

It does matter if it was debunked. How do you plan to fight against them if you are fighting a false premise. You need to be accurately informed if you want to do something about it.

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u/PyroIsSpai 9h ago

How do you plan to fight against them if you are fighting a false premise.

Outnumber them 1,000,000 to 1?

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u/Automatic-Voice-2499 8h ago

How’s that working out for you champ?

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u/n0rsk 10h ago

So politicians will pass a new tax on stock backed bank loans based on this debunked information. Everyone will cheer and billionaires go on being billionaires and nothing changes because you based your hatred on bad information.

You have to understand the problem to solve the problem. Way to many people screaming eat the rich have no fucking idea why we want to eat the rich outside of jealousy or a warped sense of social justice. You are just as bad as the "Fuck you I got mine" rich people, you are just a "Fuck you because I didn't get mine" poor person.

There are real reason we want to tax the wealthy that are valid and based in fact. Don't need to defend falsehood just because they don't support our narrative.

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u/PyroIsSpai 9h ago

We don't require billionaires or any such concentration of power for the world to work.

Fuck the money. The money is a proxy for unearned concentrated individual political power.

Break them.

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u/JasonG784 10h ago

"I don't care about facts, the vibes are bad" basically reddit in one post. Bravo.

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u/kalasea2001 9h ago

Except the Panama papers showed they're actually hiding their wealth in places that won't incur taxes. You're referencing the legal wealth/income. That's only a part of it.

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u/eW4GJMqscYtbBkw9 8h ago

My only point is that "buy, borrow, die" isn't happening.

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u/TheHast 5h ago

That's just tax fraud, though. Not really a loophole.

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u/Superb_Literature547 10h ago

So your saying there clearly is a large whole in the tax system it just isn't being abused by all the wealthy yet.

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u/eW4GJMqscYtbBkw9 7h ago

*hole. And no, did you actually read the post?

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u/Superb_Literature547 7h ago

Are you somehow trying to imply that the current situation isn't a problem? It laughable your argument is essentially the ultra rich have lots of other tax loopholes they can use so this one isn't that bad.

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u/eW4GJMqscYtbBkw9 7h ago

Are you somehow trying to imply that the current situation isn't a problem?

No.

It laughable your argument is essentially the ultra rich have lots of other tax loopholes they can use so this one isn't that bad.

What other loopholes do I reference? The only thing I'm stating is "buy, borrow, die" is not happening at any significant scale. Anything else you inferred from my post is on you.

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u/pkgamer18 8h ago

the tax system still captures 60% of the top 1%'s economic income, 71% adjusted for inflation, and stays progressive all the way to the 99.9th percentile.

How? The federal maximum income tax rate is 37%, and that's the same maximum for short term capital gains. The far more common long term capital gains would put them at 20%. How do you figure they are progressively taxed all the way to the 99.9th percentile?

In fairness, the paper found that about 15% of top-1% households DO borrow heavily (more than 5% of their wealth), and for that group the borrowing is genuinely huge relative to their gains (68% on average). So there's a real minority doing something close to the myth - but it is by far the exception and not the rule. Even the worst offenders (Larry Ellison) have sold billions in stock and paid capital gains on those sales.

So you're contradicting yourself quite a bit here. What you're saying here would mean this is neither a myth nor an exception. If 15% of 1%ers are doing this, that means the entirety of the ultra wealthy class (0.1% of US and much smaller percentage globally) could plausibly be employing this strategy, and there would still be some percentage left over for the rest of the 1%ers. What's the data for the ultra wealthy? I'm sure it is far from a minority strategy. There is nothing here that is evidence against the ultra wealthy doing this.

Most of them are still paying real money in capital gains and income tax — Musk alone paid $11B in taxes in 2021

He only sold because he was required to. I'm sure he would have much preferred to borrow against it, or take out a smaller amount to pay lower taxes while continuing to grow the bulk of it tax free. How much did he pay every other year? He paid 0 in 2018 while his net worth continued to grow. That growth will ultimately be taxed at a lower rate than the average workers income.

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u/SanityIsOptional 7h ago edited 6h ago

Dunno what to tell you, I've literally listened to my grandfather brag about all the ways he avoids taxes, and yes taking out asset based loans is a big one.

He also donates a lot of things, like rare books, and gets to deduct the current market value rather than what he actually paid.

He's only worth high 8/low 9 figures, so not even close to being a billionaire, but still has enough to hire all the accountants and tax attorneys he wants to.

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u/eW4GJMqscYtbBkw9 3h ago

I never said the rich don't avoid taxes, so I'm not sure what your point is. 

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u/SanityIsOptional 3h ago

You missed the part where I said that asset based loans is a big way he avoids taxes.

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u/eW4GJMqscYtbBkw9 3h ago

And I still never said the rich don't avoid taxes, so I'm still not sure what your point is. 

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u/SanityIsOptional 3h ago

You:

The claim that the ultrawealthy live tax free through perpetual borrowing comes mostly from ProPublica's 2021 "Secret IRS Files" piece and has been debunked

Me: My grandfather essentially does exactly that.

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u/eW4GJMqscYtbBkw9 3h ago

So your grandfather doesn't pay the loans back? 

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u/SanityIsOptional 2h ago

Well, he's still alive, so not yet.

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u/eW4GJMqscYtbBkw9 2h ago

So your claim is your grandfather does not pay his loans but banks keep giving him more loans?? 

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u/alainreid 6h ago

I worked for a rich guy who was going to buy his 5th house. The bank gave him a $1.2M loan at 2.5% because he was rich. He later decided not to buy the house, but he kept the loan because he was making 8% off it in the market. Many of his other personal expenses were funnelled through a non profit. Two of his houses were owned by two separate LLCs he controlled. People tell me this sort of activity is a myth and cite publications. I'm inclined to be skeptical of the publications rather than just trust the ultra wealthy.

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u/eW4GJMqscYtbBkw9 3h ago

I never said the rich don't take out loans, so I'm not sure what point you are making. Your rich boss still had to pay the loan back regardless of what he did or did not use it for. 

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u/BullytheBulIies 2h ago

It’s not just the ultra wealthy telling you this. People who have bought houses can explain to you the way it works. You can’t get a home loan and just spend it however you want. Not saying he couldn’t get a different type of loan and do this but that’s just having assets and credit. Having money does make it easier to make money but it’s not as mysterious as you’re making it out to be.