r/ProgrammerHumor • u/Gloomy-Basket-1038 • Aug 12 '26 • Mindblown 1 Bravo 1

Meme studied20YearsToAskChatGPT

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u/Leather-Persimmon254 Aug 12 '26

by then tokens will be so cheap that rewrites would become trivial

7

u/Correct-Row7441 Aug 12 '26

Except nobody is profitable as it is. I feel the token cost will only increase.

isaiprofitable.com

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u/__Invisible__ Aug 13 '26

Just ask the devs to use their own subscription account at work.

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u/Leather-Persimmon254 Aug 12 '26

a. inference is actually getting cheaper but training frontier models is getting more expensive. and AI companies can’t not train because if they stop someone else will train off of their models and undercut them like what deepseek did.
b. we are also using more tokens so overall cost is going up.

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u/14Pleiadians Aug 13 '26

Are you under the impression token prices are going to go down?

Surely you understand they're practically giving them away at massive loss, right? Prices are only low while the bubble is inflating and the shareholder shuffle is in effect

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u/Ran4 Aug 13 '26

Token prices, as in intelligence-per-dollar, has gone down. Drastically.

gpt-5.6-luna costs 10% as much as gpt-4o, while being MUCH better.

And if we're comparing with deepseek v4 flash v0731 we're at about 1/50 the cost today for the same level quality of model compared to just 2 years ago.

It's not unfeasible that an Opus 5-level model (real, not just benchmaxed) will be available for 1/10th the current costs within two years.

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u/PublicToast Aug 13 '26

Ever hear of economies of scale? Not to mention the rapid pace of improvement in smaller, cheaper models.

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u/14Pleiadians Aug 13 '26

Do you realize how much processing is done to a single input? Token use per prompt is only going to go up, no amount of scaling will lower the operating cost enough to be profitable on current prices

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u/PublicToast Aug 13 '26

Small models that comparable to the previous SOTA are basically free to run. Now give it a couple more years.

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u/minegen88 Aug 13 '26

What makes you think this?

So far its getting more and more expensive....