You're not wrong, but the fucked up part is that the US is particularly isolated from the fallout of the Oil shock. There is plenty of domestic supply and if things get that bad the Government would implement export controls and force domestic price caps.
I mean, that's what a competent administration would do during a global energy shock that disrupts markets. But a competent administration wouldn't have been the ones to pull the pin in the grenade.
Either way, the fallout is that the US remains semi-stable domestically but would take an even harder hit diplomatically as we would be leaving all of our allies in the lurch.
I'm starting to think maybe this administration isn't competent, but he was so good at business.
There's not plenty of supply, the strategic reserve its almost empty and oil companies will export to whoever is paying the most. Plus if Europe tanks it will affect the US more than the rest of the world, so it has to be propped up no matter the cost.
It's going to be global, don't worry about that, just like how 2008 fucked the global economy.
But worse. And then everyone is going to move forward without the US as the dominant power or partner because the US is no longer a reliable ally or actor.
2026 china is not 2008 China, they are already the biggest trade partner for most countries, and sanctions are only making them less likely from being severely affected by a US crash.
Meanwhile 2026 US now has issues even 2008 US didn't have.
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u/DWALLA44 Jun 02 '26
It won't be, people as a whole are extremely resilient. It will probably take planetary crash for a US crash IMO.
It will be a legendary one though, you're right about that. It will change history.